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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds - Aug 11, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds - Aug 11, 2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to meet in MLB at Chase Field on Thursday, starting at 3:40PM ET.

Merrill Kelly (10-5, 2.86 ERA) will get the ball for the Diamondbacks, up against JT Brubaker (2-10, 4.49 ERA) for the Pirates.

Dimers' top betting picks for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Pirates vs. Diamondbacks?

Using high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Pirates-Diamondbacks MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Diamondbacks a 57% chance of beating the Pirates.

More: Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Simulated 10,000 Times

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds

  • Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+126), Pirates +1.5 (-140)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -165, Pirates +146
  • Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-115)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Diamondbacks are -1.5 favorites against the Pirates, with +126 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the run line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -140.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Diamondbacks at -165, which means you can risk $165 to win $100, for a total payout of $265, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Pirates at +146, where you can bet $100 to profit $146, earning a total payout of $246, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Pirates (+1.5) are a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 7.5 runs is a 54% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

 

If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best free picks of the day across all sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

While the Diamondbacks are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Pirates moneyline is the best option because of the 1.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers.com is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Use our dynamic widget below to see up-to-date Moneyline, Over/Under and Run Line probabilities and odds for Pittsburgh vs. Arizona, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Pirates-Diamondbacks matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so check this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Pirates vs. Diamondbacks on Thursday August 11, 2022.

 

Get a Risk-Free Bet for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

Do you want to bet on Pittsburgh vs. Arizona? Join FanDuel Sportsbook now and get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000, which you can use on Thursday's Pirates-Diamondbacks game.

Simply click or tap on this exclusive FanDuel Sportsbook link and create an account – it's easy and takes less than 2 minutes.

Then, make your first deposit and place a bet up to $1K on Pirates vs. Diamondbacks. If you don't win your bet, FanDuel Sportsbook will give it back to you in site credit!

This offer is available to all new FanDuel Sportsbook users – no promo code needed!

Note: When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks 2022 Game Info

Thursday's matchup between the Diamondbacks and Pirates at Chase Field is scheduled to start at 3:40PM ET.

  • Who: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Thursday August 11, 2022
  • Time: 3:40PM ET / 12:40PM PT
  • Venue: Chase Field

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Want more MLB analysis like this?

So, you liked our Pirates vs. Diamondbacks betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our MLB Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every MLB game the second the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to create the most reliable MLB betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

It's only a click away, so why not take a look around?

While you're here, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the 2022 World Series, with our data-led probabilities paired with the best odds on the market.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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