Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction: Phoenix to Win, Kevin Durant Projected for Big Game in Sunday's NBA Matchup [3/9/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks matchup.

Phoenix Suns-Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Game Preview.
American Airlines Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks this Sunday.

The Dallas Mavericks will face the favored Phoenix Suns in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Sunday, commencing at 3:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Suns as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Phoenix-Dallas game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Suns with a win probability of 72%, while the Mavericks have 28%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall and Brandon Williams, while the Suns will be led by Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal.

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Suns vs. Mavericks predictions page.

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Mavericks vs. Suns Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Suns and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Suns a 72% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 117-111.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Suns and Mavericks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Loading game data...

Suns vs. Mavericks Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Suns Mavericks
Spread -6.5 (-110) +6.5 (-105)
Moneyline -265 +235
Total o229 (-110) u229 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Our model's biggest edge in today's Suns vs. Mavericks matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Suns vs. Mavericks Player Props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on the Suns vs. Mavericks matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Suns in scoring, while Klay Thompson is projected to be the top scorer for the Mavericks.

Kevin Durant 2025.
Kevin Durant is projected to be one of the top scorers in tonight's game.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Suns vs. Mavs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Mavericks and Suns at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 3:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Suns vs. Mavericks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phoenix vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Suns, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Keep up with the latest NBA news, NBA best bets and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most accurate projections for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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