Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: Mercury Predicted to Win After New Data Released for WNBA Game [7/7/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: Mercury Predicted to Win After New Data Released for WNBA Game [7/7/2024]

The Los Angeles Sparks will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

The Sparks, with star players such as Dearica Hamby, Rickea Jackson and Aari McDonald, will face off against the Mercury, whose lineup includes Kahleah Copper, Brittney Griner and Natasha Cloud.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mercury-Sparks game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Mercury with a win probability of 67%, while the Sparks have 33%."

Mercury vs. Sparks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between the Sparks and Mercury at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sparks vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Sparks 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mercury a 67% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Mercury and Sparks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.

 

Mercury vs. Sparks Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Sparks
Spread -4.5 (-105) +4.5 (-112)
Moneyline -185 +155
Total o167.5 (-108) u167.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mercury vs. Sparks Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sparks Player Props

Looking for Phoenix vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 15 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.

Mercury Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Kahleah Copper 24 5 2 3
Brittney Griner 23 8 3 0
Natasha Cloud 14 5 8 1
Sophie Cunningham 12 4 3 2
Natasha Mack 5 7 2 0

Sparks Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Dearica Hamby 15 9 3 1
Rickea Jackson 14 5 2 1
Aari McDonald 12 3 4 2
Stephanie Talbot 9 5 3 2
Li Yueru 8 6 1 0

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sparks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on WNBA

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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