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Read Article Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: Mercury Predicted to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [7/3/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
![Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: Mercury Predicted to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [7/3/2024]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/17ceaf40-3838-11ef-a693-83515f89c90e-WNBA_2024_51_DAL_PHX.png?w=750)
The Dallas Wings will square off with the favored Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at College Park Center on Wednesday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.
The Wings, powered by Arike Ogunbowale, Natasha Howard and Teaira McCowan, will face off against the Mercury, who feature Kahleah Copper, Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Mercury-Wings game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mercury's chance of winning at 66%, with the Wings at 34%."
Mercury vs. Wings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Wednesday's matchup between the Wings and Mercury at College Park Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Wednesday, July 3, 2024
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Mercury vs. Wings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Wings vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Access 260 bets, including a 14% edge Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Wings Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Wings 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 66% chance of beating the Wings.
According to our model, the Wings (+5.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 172.5-point over/under has a 61% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:02AM, Jul 4
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Mercury vs. Wings Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-108) | +5.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -218 | +190 |
| Total | o172.5 (-110) | u172.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mercury vs. Wings Picks
Our model's strongest edge in the Mercury vs. Wings matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Access all of our WNBA bets Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Wings Player Props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Wednesday's Phoenix vs. Dallas game without necessarily betting on the outcome.
We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Arike Ogunbowale is projected to finish with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Wings.
Mercury Prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 22 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Diana Taurasi | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Brittney Griner | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Natasha Cloud | 14 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Sophie Cunningham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Wings Prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 23 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Teaira McCowan | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacy Sheldon | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Monique Billings | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA betting trends for today's games.
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Wings on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
More on WNBA
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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