Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: Sun Predicted to Win Following Updated Analysis for WNBA Game [7/14/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: Sun Predicted to Win Following Updated Analysis for WNBA Game [7/14/2024]

The Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury will meet in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

The Sun, powered by DeWanna Bonner, Brionna Jones and DiJonai Carrington, are set to take on the Mercury, featuring Brittney Griner, Kahleah Copper and Diana Taurasi.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Sun as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mercury-Sun game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Sun with a win probability of 69%, while the Mercury have 31%."

Mercury vs. Sun Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's action between the Sun and Mercury at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Mercury vs. Sun matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sun vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sun Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Sun 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Sun a 69% chance of defeating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+7.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 158.5 points has a 66% chance of going over.

 

Mercury vs. Sun Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Sun
Spread +7.5 (-105) -7.5 (-105)
Moneyline +280 -325
Total o158.5 (-108) u158.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mercury vs. Sun Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Sun matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sun Player Props

WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Phoenix vs. Connecticut matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We have crunched the numbers to project individual points, assists, rebounds and three-pointers made for each team.

Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Mercury with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while DeWanna Bonner is projected to finish with 18 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.

Mercury Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Brittney Griner 22 6 3 0
Kahleah Copper 20 4 2 2
Diana Taurasi 16 4 4 2
Natasha Cloud 12 4 6 1
Sophie Cunningham 7 2 2 1

Sun Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
DeWanna Bonner 18 7 2 2
Brionna Jones 15 6 2 0
DiJonai Carrington 14 5 2 1
Alyssa Thomas 14 9 8 0
Tyasha Harris 13 2 4 2

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.

Conclusion

We predict the Sun, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sun insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on WNBA

Stay well-informed with the most recent WNBA betting news and our data-led WNBA parlay picks all season long.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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