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Phillies vs. Reds Prediction and Odds - Apr 16, 2023
The Cincinnati Reds face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Sunday, starting at 1:40PM ET.
Luis Cessa (0-1, 7.00 ERA) will start on the mound for the Reds, while the Phillies are going with Aaron Nola (0-2, 7.04 ERA).
Dimers' top betting picks for Phillies vs. Reds, plus game predictions and best odds, are detailed in this article.
Who will win Phillies vs. Reds?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Phillies-Reds MLB game 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Phillies a 60% chance of winning against the Reds.
More: Phillies vs. Reds Simulated 10,000 Times
Phillies vs. Reds Current Odds
- Run Line: Reds +1.5 (+110), Phillies -1.5 (-125)
- Moneyline: Reds +176, Phillies -200
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-114)
Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Reds are listed as +1.5 underdogs versus the Phillies, with +110 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the favored Phillies (-1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -125.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Reds at +176. That means you can bet $100 to profit $176, earning a total payout of $276, if they win.
Elsewhere, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -200, where you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under is set at 9.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -114.
As always, check out all the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Reds (+1.5) are a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Under.
More: Free Prop Picks
Best Bets for Phillies vs. Reds
- Run Line: Reds +1.5 @ +110 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability) π₯
- Moneyline: Reds @ +176 via FanDuel Sportsbook (3.6% edge)
- Total: Under 9.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook (54% probability)
If you see a π₯, you know it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in the USA.
While the Phillies are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Reds moneyline is the best option because of the 3.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Phillies vs. Reds Betting Guide
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Dimers has full betting coverage of Sunday's Phillies-Reds matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Phillies vs. Reds on Sunday April 16, 2023.
Phillies vs. Reds 2023 Game Info
Sunday's matchup between the Reds and Phillies at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to start at 1:40PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday April 16, 2023
- Time: 1:40PM ET / 10:40AM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
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