Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Wednesday's MLB Matchup [4/23/2025]

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Wednesday, starting at 1:10PM ET.

The Mets will send David Peterson (1-1, 3.27 ERA) to the mound, while the Phillies will counter with Zack Wheeler (2-1, 3.73 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects an equal chance for both the Mets and Phillies to win today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Philadelphia-NY Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both the Mets and Phillies, making it a highly competitive matchup."

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Phillies vs. Mets predictions page.

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Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Phillies and Mets a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 5:28PM, Apr 23

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Phillies

Win %

51%

49%

-115

+107

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Mets

Phillies PHI

-115

Win %

51%

49%

See Matchup

Mets NYM

+107

Zack Wheeler 2-1, 3.73 ERA

David Peterson 1-1, 3.27 ERA

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Phillies vs. Mets Odds [4/23/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Phillies vs. Mets Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Phillies vs. Mets matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Phillies vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:10PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
• Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025
• Time: 1:10PM ET/10:10AM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Phillies vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Philadelphia vs. NY Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

• Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
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Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Phillies and Mets on Wednesday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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