Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Phillies Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [9/22/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Philadelphia Phillies-New York Mets Predictions and Game Preview.
Citi Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets this Sunday.

The New York Mets will square off with the Philadelphia Phillies, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Citi Field on Sunday, commencing at 7:15PM ET.

Tylor Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA) will start on the mound for the Mets, while the Phillies have opted for Zack Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Phillies-Mets game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 53%, while the Mets have 47%."

Phillies vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Phillies vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20BASEBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Phillies and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 53% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.

 

Phillies vs. Mets Odds [9/22/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Phillies Mets
Run Line -1.5 (+126) +1.5 (-148)
Moneyline -140 +120
Total o7 (+100) u7 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Phillies vs. Mets Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Phillies vs. Mets matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay updated with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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