Phillies vs. Mets Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [4/21/2025]

The New York Mets will square off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 7:10PM ET.

Tylor Megill (2-2, 1.40 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, while the Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola (0-4, 6.65 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Philadelphia-NY Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Mets are likely to win, with a probability of 53%, compared to the Phillies' 47%."

For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Phillies vs. Mets predictions page.

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Phillies vs. Phillies Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Phillies.

According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 11:31PM, Apr 21

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Phillies

Win %

46%

54%

+120

-134

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See Matchup

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Mets

Phillies PHI

+120

Win %

46%

54%

See Matchup

Mets NYM

-134

Aaron Nola 0-4, 6.65 ERA

Tylor Megill 2-2, 1.40 ERA

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Phillies vs. Mets Odds [4/21/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Phillies vs. Mets Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Phillies vs. Mets matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Phillies vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's MLB action between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
• Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
• Time: 7:10PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Phillies vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Philadelphia vs. NY Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Phillies vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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