Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [3/17/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Monday's Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers-Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Game Preview.
Amalie Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Philadelphia Flyers and Tampa Bay Lightning this Monday.

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:00PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Philadelphia-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Lightning are likely to win, with a probability of 69%, compared to the Flyers' 31%."

For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Flyers vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Flyers vs. Flyers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL game between the Flyers and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 69% chance of defeating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:15PM, Mar 17
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Flyers
Win %
31%
69%
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See Matchup
Lightning
Flyers PHI
Win %
31%
69%
See Matchup
Lightning TB
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Flyers vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Flyers Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (+100) -1.5 (-112)
Moneyline +260 -310
Total o5.5 (-118) u5.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Flyers vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Flyers vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Flyers vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Flyers vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Flyers vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Guentzel an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 41.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player First Goal Probability
Owen Tippett 6.0%
Travis Konecny 5.8%
Matvei Michkov 5.8%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel 8.5%
Brayden Point 8.2%
Nikita Kucherov 7.0%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Owen Tippett 32.4%
Travis Konecny 31.1%
Matvei Michkov 30.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel 41.9%
Brayden Point 41.3%
Nikita Kucherov 36.1%

Flyers vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's action between the Lightning and Flyers at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Flyers vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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