Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the Wild Card Round

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the Wild Card Round

Super Wild Card Weekend wraps up tonight! Dimers delivered a +625 parlay that cashed in the first half on Saturday, and we're back with another Same Game Parlay, this time in the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers clash. We've sourced this parlay by using our best NFL props, powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models. By running 1000s of simulations on each game, Dimers can source the best NFL bets and best parlay picks to make each and every day.

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Our +900 Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Same Game Parlay

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Rachaad White (TB) Over 22.5 Receiving Yards

-120

DeVonta Smith (PHI) Over 65.5 Receiving Yards

-115

Dallas Goedert (PHI) Anytime Touchdown

+230

+900 Monday Night Football Parlay Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Monday, January 15, 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Rachaad White (TB) Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

To start things off, we're backing the Bucs' RB1, but not in the running game. Instead, we task Rachaad White to eclipse his receiving yards mark which is set at 22.5 on DraftKings. White appeared in all 17 games for the Bucs this year and cleared this mark in all but four, oftentimes clearing it with ease as he recorded eight games of 30+ yards and five of 40+. A little ladder, anyone? Either way, we just need over 22.5. During the Eagles' end-of-season 1-5 stretch, they allowed a rusher to clear that mark four times.

Tonight, DimersBOT projects White for 34 receiving yards, identifying both some plus-money value there, as well as an edge in his -120 odds. At a 74.3% probability of clearing his line, this looks like a steal against the books.

MORE: Our Best NFL Prop Picks for Wild Card Weekend

LEG 2: DeVonta Smith (PHI) Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

For our second leg, we target another receiving prop, this time from the Eagles. DeVonta Smith will step into the WR1 role this evening, as A.J. Brown has been ruled out with the knee injury he sustained in the Eagles' Week 18 finale. Smith has cleared this line in 6 of his last 9 games, doing so with sometimes modest volume, and that was with Brown healthy and commanding a huge target share. Now there are about 10 targets per game vacated by Brown's absence, and Smith will naturally inherit some of those looks.

It could get close, as our model is projecting Smith for a 70-yard performance tonight, but that's why we're taking this at DraftKings instead of FanDuel where his line is up to 69.5. Even after picking it up in the final weeks of the regular season, Tampa Bay's passing defense ranked bottom-five in the NFL, opening things up for Smith to fill the void.

LEG 3: Dallas Goedert (PHI) Anytime Touchdown (+230)

Speaking of filling the void, we close out with our touchdown prop and we're looking at Eagles' tight end Dallas Goedert to find his way into the endzone. Tampa Bay sports one of the more exposable defenses against tight ends, as they allow the most targets to the TE position in the NFL at 9.1 per game and are bottom-eight in the league in terms of red zone production against tight ends. As mentioned, Jalen Hurts will be without his top target, and Goedert can easily be a beneficiary of that tonight.

We project Goedert with a 29.8% probability to score tonight, making his fair odds around +230, meaning this is a solid price. For transparency, DeVonta Smith is a value play at his best odds on FanDuel at +200, but you'll pay a premium for pairing him with his receiving line and will only get the parlay at +547.

🏈 Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers


NFL +900 Same Game Parlay Monday, January 15, 2024

1️⃣ Rachaad White (TB) Over 22.5 Receiving Yards
2️⃣ DeVonta Smith (PHI) Over 65.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ Dallas Goedert (PHI) Anytime Touchdown

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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