PGA TOUR Golf Bets: Wyndham Championship Head-to-Head Matchup Picks and Parlay

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Written by Dave Garofolo
PGA TOUR golfer Akshay Bhatia.
PGA TOUR golfer Akshay Bhatia looks to secure a Top 10 spot.

We're back with another PGA matchups parlay!

We've already broken down our best bets of the weekend, from winners and placements to more. Now it's time to cook up our famous matchups parlay featuring three golfers our model supports at Sedgefield Country Club in North Carolina.

Betting on winners and who will finish in the Top 5, 10 and 20 markets gets all the attention around golf tournaments, but betting on head-to-head matchups can be an equally lucrative and entertaining experience for golf bettors. For our model's best picks in those markets, check out our full 3M Open Predictions, now exclusively part of Dimers Pro.

We have an in-house tool designed for pitting golfers against one another and simulating the results. We can see who will finish higher in their head-to-head matchup, either after Round 1 or over the course of the entire tournament.

With a handy "Fair Odds" to "Percentages" toggle, you can always check to see if there's value in any given matchup. We're switching gears slightly this week and going with 3-ball matchups rather than head-to-head, but we can use our tool just the same!


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Dimers Pro gives you access to everything Dimers has to offer right now and in the future, including our full list of today’s best bets and our cutting-edge Parlay Picker.

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Wyndham Championship Golf Betting Preview

Read our deep dive into this weekend's Wyndham Championship for a larger look at this tournament across the pond.

These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that has returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark at Pebble Beach in 2024, cashed our +627 parlay at The Masters, +1075 3-ball parlay at the Memorial and called three winners in four weeks with Davis Thompson at the John Deere Classic, then Xander Schauffele at The Open and finally Scottie Scheffler to win the Gold medal the Olympics.

+633 Wyndham Championship Matchups Parlay on DraftKings

To make this parlay, we'll be using the tournament-long head-to-head matchups available at DraftKings as they have our preferred options available. We'll enter golfers into our H2H Predictor, select the Tournament-long option, and see which golfer gets the advantage for the weekend. 

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

MATCHUP
WIN %
ODDS
Akshay Bhatia to beat
Kurt Kitayama
57.6%
-120
Keegan Bradley to beat
Harris English
51.8%
+100
Min Woo Lee to beat
Cameron Davis
51.1%+100

Leg 1: Akshay Bhatia to beat Kurt Kitayama (-120)

Let's kick off this parlay with one of our picks to win the tournament, young lefty Akshay Bhatia. 

Bhatia has about as much motivation as anyone this weekend. At 15th in the FedExCup standings, he's got the best shot out of those competing to crack his way into the Top 10 and get a piece of the $20M bonus waiting.

Bhatia has three Top 5 finishes this year, two of them in his past four events and has all the tools to play well on these links. Kitayama is coming off his best finish of the year, a T6 at the 3M Open, his only top 20 finish in a dozen events since March.

Bhatia gets a nearly a 20% better chance to best Kitayama over the course of the weekend, and a 3% edge in his -120 odds given our 57.6% probability for him to come out on top.

Leg 2: Keegan Bradley to beat Harris English (+100)

Next, we'll take another of our winner picks to pull out the slight upset in North Carolina.

Keegan Bradley is our model's 9th-most likely winner of the tournament, while Harris sits outside the Top 20, though only a 1.5% probability separates them.

These two golfers have hid similar years when you look at their overall results, though Bradley has shown a bit more command and better form, with three Top 25's and as high as a T2 since The Masters,, while English has had one Top 25 in that span. In their past 10 shared events, Bradley has beat or tied English in 8 of them.

Bradley gets a 51.8% probability to beat English (10% better), who is favored by the books at -120. Not only do we disagree with the favorite, our model also says English shouldn't be any shorter than +140.

The PGA Power is Yours:  Build Your Head-to-Head Parlays

Leg 3: Min Woo Lee to beat Cameron Davis

Our final leg is another small upset, with Min Woo Lee getting the call to beat fellow Aussie Cameron Davis.

We pit these countrymen against one another as Lee gets nearly a 9% better probability to win this head-to-head matchup. cam Davis managed a win about a month ago at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and it's because of that win that he's pretty well entrenched in the TOUR Top 50, meaning he's on track to advance.

Lee, on the other hand, is at 61 and near the bubble of the Top 70. He'd have to turn in a dud to miss out on advancing to next week's tournament, but he's in need of points to go beyond that.

Lee ranks 6th off the tee in the stroked gained which should be a huge advantage compared to Davis' poor metrics. Though Lee's 51.1% probability isn't the biggest projection, Davis is the fade based on probability vs. odds alone.


 

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.


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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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