PGA TOUR Golf Bets: RBC Canadian Open Head to Head Picks and Parlay

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Written by Dave Garofolo
PGA TOUR Golf Bets: RBC Canadian Open Head to Head Picks and Parlay

This weekend's golf takes us north of the border into Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open and we're back with another Head-to-Head Matchups parlay clocking in at +541 odds.

Betting on winners and who will finish in the Top 5, 10 and 20 markets gets all the attention around golf tournaments, but betting on head-to-head matchups can be an equally lucrative and entertaining experience for golf bettors. For our model's best picks in those markets, check out our full RBC Canadian Open Predictions, now exclusively part of Dimers Pro.

We have an in-house tool designed for pitting golfers against one another and simulating the results. We can see who will finish higher in their head-to-head matchup, either after Round 1 or over the course of the entire tournament.

With a handy "Fair Odds" to "Percentages" toggle, you can always check to see if there's value in any given matchup.


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RBC Canadian Open 2024 Golf Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks. We're heading to Valhalla GC in Lousiville, Kentucky for the PGA Championship and a $17.5M purse on the line.

Make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best betson a weekly basis.

These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that has returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark at Pebble Beach in 2024, cashed our +627 parlay at The Masters, and called a Scottie Scheffler comeback win at +1000.


+541 Head-to-Head RBC Canadian Open Parlay on DraftKings

To make this parlay, we'll be using the Head-to-Head matchups available at DraftKings as they have our preferred options available. We'll enter both golfers into our H2H Predictor, select the Tournament-long option, and see which golfer gets the advantage for the weekend.

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

MATCHUP
WIN %
ODDS
Sahith Theegala to beat Shane Lowry54.9%-120
Sam Burns to beat Tom Kim54.0%-110
Corey Conners to beat Cameron Young51.5%-120

Leg 1: Sahith Theegala to beat Shane Lowry (-120)

We'll start off with one of our model's value picks to win, Sahith Theegala to win his tournament matchup against Irishman Shane Lowry. Theegala gets a shade under 55% to win this matchup with a 4.8% probability of a tie, leaving Lowry a 40% chance to win. At +100 for Lowry, he should be at least 50% to win, while Theegala is set right at our model's fair price.

Both golfers have a similar year - one solo cut each, and Lowry has one win, while Theegala has a pair of 2nd-place finishes. Theegala clears Lowry in the analytics however, particularly on the green where he's 4th in SG compared to Lowry who is 124th.

Leg 2: Sam Burns to beat Tom Kim (-110)

Next we're looking at Sam Burns to best Tom Kim over the weekend, a bet on this season's results and with some value. While Kim has already collected four wins on TOUR at just 21 years old, he hasn't realized his upside this year, failing to secure a Top 10 finish through 15 events and has finished inside the Top 20 just twice. 

Burns has three missed cuts in his last five events, two of them at majors with highly competitive fields, but has finished inside the Top 10 four times, including a T3, however those four did come in a row earlier this year. Kim's Stoked Gained metrics are tough to look at, ranking outside 100th in key categories.

At -110, Burns' odds imply a 52.4% probability so we have a little bit of an edge here.

The PGA Power is Yours:  Build Your Head-to-Head Parlays

Leg 3: Corey Conners to beat Cameron Young (-120)

We close out with the Canadian Corey Conners to use home-country advantage in his favor and best Cameron Young, who's had better overall results this year but enters this tournament on a bit of a rough streak.

Conners has a T26, T13 and T44 in his past three events, while Young enters on a steak of T63, T34 and T62. Neither golfer is a strong putter - 121st in SG for Young and 163rd for Conners, but Conners is significantly better in other areas, notably approach (2nd to 46th) and overall (33rd to 52nd).

While Conners is a fair play at -110, Young is even further off his price, as he should be +130 as opposed to his +100 on the books.

 

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.


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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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