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PGA TOUR: BMW Championship Three-Ball Parlay 2023
The regular season of the PGA TOUR has wrapped up as we get ready for the second event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The action gets underway at Olympia Fields' North Course in Chicago, IL with a field of just 50 golfers remaining. Golf fans and bettors all over are looking to take in the action and win a bet or two with just two events left this year.
With that in mind, we have again used our powerful head-to-head matchups tool to build a three-ball parlay at odds of +4294. This golf parlay has been built thanks to our predictive analytics model and the odds on offer at DraftKings Sportsbook.
DimersBOT's favorites to win the BMW Championship this week are Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm, but in this column, we'll be analyzing the head-to-head market, specifically in tournament three-ball matchups.
Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.
Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.
BMW Championship Matchups Parlay for 2023
Our parlay for the 2023 BMW Championship has landed, with four legs totaling odds of +4294 with DraftKings. We also recommend placing a round-robin bet on this, giving you a nice payout if only two or three of the legs end up winning.
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Leg 1: Tommy Fleetwood (+160)
Our first leg for this week is one who came through for us in the parlay last week and nearly cashed our +3000 outright winner, Tommy Fleetwood, paired up against Collin Morikawa and Wyndham Clark.
Save for one missed cut, Fleetwood hasn't finished lower than T10 in his last six events, including four in the top five. He's riding serious momentum and has an outside shot of winning the FedEx Cup.
DimersBOT rates Fleetwood with a 49.7% chance of winning his matchup with Morikawa, and a 59.6% chance to beat Clark.
Leg 2: Patrick Cantlay (+150)
The second leg of our BMW Championship parlay is for Patrick Cantlay to outperform Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele across the course this weekend.
Cantlay also came through for us last week, losing in a playoff to Lucas Glover but securing our H2H matchup. These three golfers are in similar form with at least seven Top-10 finishes this year, but Cantlay has shown the most upside in the past couple of months. Schauffele hasn't finished inside the Top-10 since Wells Fargo in early May and Hovland not since his win at The Memorial in early June. Cantlay, on the other hand, has two Top-5s and three Top-10s in that same span.
Cantlay gets a 53.9% chance to win his matchup with Hovland and 53.4% to beat Schauffele. He's alos our fourth-most likely winner.
MORE: Build your own BMW Championship parlay with our PGA head-to-head predictor tool now
Leg 3: Rory McIlroy (+160)
Next up we have a matchup between the three top golfers in this tournament, with Rory McIlroy our pick to beat out his top competition in Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm.
These are our model's three most-likely winners this week, which shouldn't come as a shock to anyone, although it's the first time in a while that Rory McIlroy has had the highest probability of them all, however slim it may be.
Our model has McIlroy with a 52.9% chance to beat Rahm, but his matchup with Scheffler is pretty much a toss-up which makes sense given their nearly identical win probabilities. McIlroy is technically in a better groove, with no worse than T9 in his last eight events, while Scheffler has finished T31 and T23 in his last two events. However, Scottie had seven straight Top-5s or better prior to that and it's splitting hairs to argue about who is in better form.
We're simply backing the value and riding the high with Rory.
Leg 4: Russell Henley (+160)
Our fourth and final leg this week is for Russell Henley to edge out Justin Rose and Sam Burns at Olympia Fields.
After missing the cut at a difficult and loaded The Open, Henley has finished T2 and T6 in back-to-back events. Rose's last four events have been a trio of missed cuts and a T20 last week, while Burns is coming a T52 at the FedEx St. Jude.
According to our model, Henley has a 55.6% chance to beat out Rose (who gets a 38.8% chance) and a 60% chance to beat Burns (34.5%).
2023 BMW Championship Matchups Parlay
| Picks | Odds (+4294) |
|---|---|
| Tommy Fleetwood to beat C. Morikawa + W. Clark | +160 |
| Patrick Cantlay to beat V. Hovland + X. Schauffele | +150 |
| R. McIlroy to beat S. Scheffler + J. Rahm | +160 |
| Russell Henley to beat J. Rose + S. Burns | +160 |
Want more PGA golf predictions like this?
So, you liked our BMW Championship parlay? Awesome. Did you know our Golf Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every PGA tournament as soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds?
That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets. This allows us to write the most reliable golf betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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