Why You Should Bet on Jon Rahm to Win 2022 Mexico Open

For this week's 2022 Mexico Open golf at Vidanta, DimersBOT likes Jon Rahm to get the win and has also identified a betting edge on him to do so when comparing its probabilities to the betting odds on offer from the sportsbooks.

Spain's Rahm was the Las Vegas favorite to win The Masters, but the 2021 U.S. Open champion struggled from the opening tee and scrambled back with a 3-under final round to finish 27th at 4-over.

Bucking the trend, DimersBOT, running more than 10,000 simulations, chose Justin Thomas of the U.S. as its favorite and Thomas fared considerably better, finishing within striking distance of everyone but runaway champion Scottie Scheffler. Thomas shot even-par on Sunday to finish in the Top 10, tied for 8th.

For this week's Mexico Open at Vidanta, DimersBOT likes Rahm, No.2 in our exclusive golf rankings, to make a big improvement in preparation of his title defense at the U.S. Open in Brookline, Mass. June 16-19, making him a 22.4% favorite to win, 49.0% to finish top 5 and 62.7% to finish top 10. 

BetMGM has the best payout for Rahm to win (+450), while PointsBet is the way to go for a top 5 on Rahm at +125 and at top 10 at –155.

BetMGM Sportsbook reported Wednesday morning that its biggest movers were Gary Woodland, in to +2200 from opening at +2600 and Cameron Champ, in to +4000 from +6600.

DimersBOT has Woodland picked for 8th and Champ at 0.7% chance to win with PointsBet offering the best odds for the longshot at +5000.

The best value to win the 2022 Mexico Open is Columbia's Sebastian Munoz, at +3300 with BetMGM, but getting the highest percentage chance to win behind Rahm at 3.6%.

The 29-year-old Munoz has made the cut in his last five PGA events and finished tied for 26th at the WGC Match Play on March 27. 

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