PGA Golf Best Bets: Wyndham Championship Winner Picks and Tournament Predictions

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Written by Dave Garofolo
PGA TOUR golfer Shane Lowry.
PGA TOUR Shane Lowry looks to secure a Top 10 spot in the FedExCup.

Time for our best golf bets of the week!

We're back from the Olympics and looking to keep our winning ways rolling. We were fresh off calling a +2500 outright winner with Davis Thompson at the John Deere Classicfor his first-ever win, before we predicted Xander Schauffele to win his second major at The Open and he delivered. We found a 4.5% edge on Scheffler to bring home the Gold and he went full-on Terminator mode to get it done.

While the Olympics are in the rearview, this next event is all about the FedExCup. After this weekend, only the Top 70 golfers will move on following the Wyndham Championship in North Carolina.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the Wyndham Championship, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. We're heading to Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC with a $7.9 million purse up for grabs.

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2024 Wyndham Championship Golf Betting Preview

We're hitting Sedgefield Country Club, a Par 70 that measures 7,131 yards for this week's action.

Make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that in addition to the wins above, has returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark and correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler's +1000 comeback at the RBC Heritage.

Who Will Win the Wyndham Championship in 2024?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's Wyndham Championship, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. 

GOLFER
WIN
TOP 5
TOP 10
Sungjae Im6.7%
21.7%
34.4%
Shane Lowry5.2%
18.6%
29.4%
Brian Harman4.0%
15.0%
24.3%
Billy Horschel3.9%
14.9%
24.9%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout3.5%
13.8%
23.8%


For access to every probability and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below.


Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the Wyndham Championship

Dimers' World Golf Rankings is our in-house approach to accurately ranking every player currently competing on the PGA Tour and are updated following each tournament.

While Dimers' World Golf Rankings system is separate to the Official World Golf Rankings, we believe our in-house rankings are more accurate due to the data points and multiple variables we analyze.

GOLFER
Dimers Rank
OWGR
Sungjae Im
#10
#20
Shane Lowry
#16
#29
Brian Harman
#20
#15
Billy Horschel
#23
#34
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
#24
#45


2024 Wyndham Championship Best Bets

Shane Lowry to Win (+2500 on BetMGM)

Our first pick is our model's second-most likely winner of this event and one of just a handful of golfers making the turnaround from the Olympics.

Shane Lowry currently rounds out the Comcast Business TOUR Top 10 which means he'll split his share of a $20M prize pool if it stays that way. He's as motivated as can be.

He's secured 8 Top 20 finishes on TOUR, 6 of them in the Top 10 and half of those Top 5s. His lone win came at the Zurich Classic when he was paired with Rory McIlroy, which took place not far from Sedgefield Country Club.

At +2500, the books have the big Irishman at 3.9% to win. Against our 5.2% probability, his fair odds should be +1800 for a sizable edge.

He's got Top 5 (+550) and Top 10 (+300) value as well, at 18.6% and 29.4%, respectively.

 

Akshay Bhatia to Win (+3500 on BetMGM)

Things get interesting right around the Top 5 bubble. Three golfers with nearly identical win probabilities find themselves cluttered together, all at +3500 odds.

So, why Akshay Bhatia then?

For starters, of those three golfers (Bhatia, Rai, Bezuidenhout), our man has the most direct path into the Top 10 and a piece of the $20M bonus pool, so he's more motivated to finish as high as possible.

Additionally, if you start to venture into our Top5/10/20 projections, Bhatia consistently finds himself above the others, as high as third overall in the Top 20 projections, identifying a higher floor for the young lefty.

For +3500 at BetMGM, we're getting another great value with our fair odds at just +2800 based on our 3.4% probability.

Consider him at Top 5 for +800 at 14.8% as well.

 

Keegan Bradley to Win (+5000 on DraftKings)

Our third winner bet for the Wyndham Championship also finds himself within our Top 10 overall golfers and that's American and recently-named Ryder Cup captain, Keegan Bradley.

Near the Top 50 bubble, Bradley is looking to pick up points for the weeks to come. He won't finish outside the Top 70, so he's locked in to move on, but he'll want to close the gap on the Top 30 this week with the biggest golfers taking off.

He's still chasing a win this year but for the +5000 odds at DraftKings, you could do much worse when it comes to a little longshot. The pros say accuracy is key at Sedgefield and Bradley's driving efficiency is ranked within the Top 15 on TOUR. At 2.8%, we have his fair odds at just +3500.

You can also get an edge on Bradley for Top 5 (+1100) at 11.2% and Top 10 (+500) at 19.3%.

 

Mackenzie Hughes to Win (+8000 on BetMGM)

Our final pick of the weekend is on Canadian Mackenzie Hughes who sits right at the Top 50 bubble at 46th overall in the FedExCup standings. A strong outing this weekend would goa long way to securing him a spot two weeks from now.

Hughes has turned in three Top 10's this year and has back-to-back finished inside the Top 20. He's ranked 5th in SG: Putting but struggles with his drives. If he can take advantage of the shorter course, he'll be in position to maneuver the greens.

He gets a 1.8% probability to win and while that's not far off form the books' implied 1.2% probability, we have his fair price at +5500 while you can get him at +8000 on BetMGM. For additional context, he's just +6500 at DraftKings, showing you how good these odds really are.

 

These aren't necessarily the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the Wyndham Championship to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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