PGA Golf Best Bets: Travelers Championship Winner Picks and Predictions

Time for some golf betting!

The 124th U.S. open was a thrilling event, coming down to the wire and featuring a brutal missed putt by Rory McIlroy, guaranteeing Bryson DeChambeau his second victory at the major. No luck for our winner, pick but we hit on a few bets we shared on our Twitter, as well as Corey Conners Top 20 at +250.

This week, we're betting on the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, CT. We're looking at a 72-player field with no cuts, guaranteeing four rounds of action for everyone involved, barring any withdrawals.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the Travelers Championship, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. As mentioned, we're heading to TPC River Highlands for this signature event with a $20 million purse up for grabs.

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The Travelers Championship Golf Betting Preview

The shortest course of the PGA season, the Pete Dye-designed TPC River Highlands measures 6,852 total yards at a Par 70. This will be the final signature event of the 2024 PGA Tour season.

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best betson a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024, correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler's comeback at the RBC Heritage while he was +1000 to win, and just cashed a +1075 3-ball parlay at the Memorial.

Did you grab these over the weekend?

Aberg +180 ✅
Matsuyama +300 ✅
McIlroy/Schauffele +351 ✅

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Who Will Win The 2024 Travelers Championship?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's Travelers Championship, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. 

For access to every probability and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below our rankings.

Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the the Travelers Championship

Dimers' World Golf Rankings is our in-house approach to accurately ranking every player currently competing on the PGA Tour and are updated following each tournament.

While Dimers' World Golf Rankings system is separate to the Official World Golf Rankings, we believe our in-house rankings are more accurate due to the data points and multiple variables we analyze.

MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

2024 Travelers Championship Best Bets

Scottie Scheffler to Win (+400 on BetMGM)

No one likes to bet on a golf winner at +400, but if you're going to do it then you'd like it to be on the No. 1 golfer in the world and in a smaller field, both of which are the case here. It's also the best price out there.

Scottie Scheffler will be looking to bounce back from a tough U.S. Open course that tested everyone on the links. Things couldn't be more different this week and our model reflects that. Sceffler gets a 27.0% probability to win, unsurprisingly the highest, however we're still getting value, as +400 implies only a 20.0% probability to win.

That makes our fair price for Scottie only +270, showing a difference of +130 for value in that 7.0% edge.

Hideki Matsuyama Top "Rest of World" (+450 on FanDuel)

There's not much value in winners outside of Scheffler so let's look at some different markets, including one similar to a bet that Hideki Matsuyama cashed for us at the U.S. Open.

Last Week saw Matsuyama cashed the Top Asian market at +300. He finished sixth with his closest opponent, Tom Kim, at T26 for a sweat-free play. This week, he's got a 2.9% probability to win, the sixth-highest, and a 47.1% probability to finished Top 20, but he's just +200 to win the Top Asian market.

If we look at the "Rest of World" pool instead, we get more than double the odds at +450, with only Corey Conners mixed in as his closest competition.

Corey Conners Top "Rest of World" (+650 on FanDuel)

For another play in this market, we'll look at the main competition for Hideki Matsuyama, as well as a guy came up clutch at the U.S. Open.

Conners finished just two behind Matsuyama at Pinehurst with an even score for the weekend, but easily landed in the Top 20 with a T9 finish. This week, he's projected with a 42.0% probability to land in the Top 20, with Christian Bezuidenhout (+1200) the closest to him in our model. Conners get s a Top 10 win probability for the whole tournament as well.

Ludvig Aberg & Viktor Hovland Both Top 10 (+521 on DraftKings)

Two of our Top five projected golfers to win it all get no value on their own, but we can put them together in a parlay that's well backed by our model.

Aberg (33.1%) and Hovland (32.6%) round out the Top 5 in our model's projections for the weekend, and have a significant lead over the next golfers to finish in the Top 10. 

Hovland had been putting together some momentum with a T24, 3rd and T15 after The Masters before a cut at the U.S. Open, though he bounced back on Day 2 with a strong 68. Aberg played himself out of contention this past weekend but has six Top 10s on the year.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout Ladder Play (+190/+500/+1200 on DraftKings)

The final way we're looking at the Travelers Championship is with a ladder play at South African golfer Christiaan Bezuidenhout. 

He's quietly had a solid year that's netted him the 26th-most FedExCup points thus far, managing three Top 10s, including a 4th-palce finish at the Memorial just two weeks ago, and he's managed four other T20 or better finishes this year.

The only other golfer with any clear value in our model, consider a ladder play on Bezuidenhout:

• Top 5 Finish (+1200)
• Top 10 Finish (+500)
• Top 20 Finish (+190)

You can also sprinkle a bit on his odds to (+8000), as even at only a 1.5% probability, our model says he should be just +6500 instead. Not bad for a golfer ranked 13th in total stroked gained this season.

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the Travelers Championship to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

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