PGA Golf Best Bets: John Deere Classic Winner Picks and Predictions

Time for some golf betting!

What a wire-to-wire thriller at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. We had our +2200 pick to win, Akshay Bhatia, in play all weekend long until Cam Davis showed up like the Undertake to AJ Styles and swiped victory from our clutches.

We've cashed a golf bet nearly every week and we're looking to get back on track at the John Deere Classic.

This week, we're heading to TPC Deere Run in Silvis, IL. Even more of the big names are off for this one so we're really digging in to find our best value this weekend.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the John Deere Classic, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. As mentioned, we're heading to the TPC Deere Run with a $7.8 million purse up for grabs.

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The John Deere Classic Golf Betting Preview

TPC Deere Run is a Par 71 that measures 7,289 total yards. For many golfers, this event presents a final chance to qualify for The Open Championship. The most recent winners have been defending champ Sepp Straka, J.T. Poston and Lucas Glover.

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024, correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler's comeback at the RBC Heritage while he was +1000 to win, and cashed a +1075 3-ball parlay at the Memorial.

Does Scottie complete the comeback at the weather-battled #TravelersChamp? ⛳️

About fair value on Schauffele, too

Final Round Predictions: https://t.co/PvC7QWTVOU pic.twitter.com/52BlYnL6Il

— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) June 23, 2024

Who Will Win The 2024 John Deere Classic?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's John Deere Classic, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. 

For access to every probability and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below our rankings.

Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the the John Deere Classic

Dimers' World Golf Rankings is our in-house approach to accurately ranking every player currently competing on the PGA Tour and are updated following each tournament.

While Dimers' World Golf Rankings system is separate to the Official World Golf Rankings, we believe our in-house rankings are more accurate due to the data points and multiple variables we analyze.

MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

2024 John Deere Classic Best Bets

Denny McCarthy to Win (+2200 on BetMGM)

Denny McCarthy is talented but has yet to put it all together for that elusive first PGA TOUR win. He's finished as the runner up in a playoff in each of the past two seasons, with 8 Top 10s last year about just a pair of them this season.

His excellent putting (2nd in strokes gained) is offset by his struggles off the tee and on approach, so he'll need to show improvement there to contend through the weekend.

At 5.5% to win, he's getting a little edge with our fair price on him closer to +1600, so you can see about +600 worth of value in his odds at BetMGM.

Andrew Putnam Ladder (+360/+850/+1800/+11000 on FanDuel)

One of the longest odds we've ever played, the value on Putnam simply can't be ignored.

For starters, he's within our Top 20 projected golfers for the whole tournament, yet has odds far beyond the others in that category.

He does get just a 2.0% probability to win, however his odds imply a 0.9% chance. Seems small? It does, but in reality, that's the difference between +11000 and +4900, over double the price!

He's got value throughout his placements too, so rather than highlight those individually, we'll look at a ladder play:

• To win 2.0% at +11000
• Top 5 Finish 9.7% at +1800
• Top 10 Finish  17.4% at +850
• Top 20 Finish 28.8% at +360

A simple way to bet this ladder would be in increments of $5, or whatever you're comfortable with. For example, you'd bet $5 on Putnam to win, $10 on him to finish top 5 and so on.

Matt Kuchar Top 20 Finish (+450 on BetMGM)

We had an edge on Kuchar last week for a Top 10 finish and he gave us a strong effort - finishing at -10 and a T25.

This time around, he's at 23.5% to finish Top 20 and at odds of +450, we get a little edge of about 5% - fair odds would be at +325.

A 200+ year veteran of the TOUR, Kuchar hasn't had his best year by any means - just a pair of Top 25s to show for it. However, both of those have come in his past five events and he's only been cut once in his past six (9 previous cuts this year).

This slimmed-down field could give him the lane he needs to finish with his best one of the year.

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the John Deere Classic to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

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