PGA Expert Picks: 2023 Sony Open in Hawaii Predictions & Best Bets

The PGA Tour remains in Hawaii this week, as the Sony Open in Hawaii will tee off Wai'alae Country Club on Thursday, January 12. All three of our picks finished inside the Top-15 last week, so we're hoping to nail the winner this time around, and we feel pretty good about doing so. Our model has also identified a +4500 play that it loves, and it's hard to turn down a bet like that. Make sure you come to Dimers all golf season, as we'll be feeding you our PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are made with our predictive analytics model and world-class artificial intelligence. 

RELATED: Check out our Dimers golf player rankings

PGA Tour Win Probabilities

2023 Sony Open in Hawaii

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where the predictive analytics model has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best PGA Golf bets for the 2023 Sony Open in Hawaii, down below.

PLAYER	WIN	TOP 5	TOP 10
Sungjae Im	7.9%	26.1%	39.8%
Brian Harman	5.4%	20.6%	33.5%
Tom Kim	5.1%	19.9%	32.7%
Jordan Spieth	3.7%	15.1%	25.8%
Corey Conners	3.5%	13.3%	24.3%
Maverick McNealy	3.4% 🔥	13.8%	24.7% 🔥
Kyoung-Hoon Lee	3.3%	13.3%	23.5%
Tom Hoge	3.1%	14.2%	25.0%
Hideki Matsuyama	3.1%	13.0%	23.2%
Cameron Davis	3.0%	12.4%	21.6%

PGA Tour Golf Best Bets

Sony Open in Hawaii

Sungjae Im (+1200 at DraftKings) 

The model's picks are in and the player with the highest probability to win is none other than Sungjae Im, who was -19 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions last week. With us now rooting for the South Korean to win, let's hope for a lot of these this weekend: 

Sungjae Im (@SungjaeTracker) throws a DART at 8‼️ pic.twitter.com/uO5y69GPZf

— PGA Bonus (@PGABonus) January 8, 2023

Sungjae Im is a very popular pick to win this week, but that's because his game is a perfect fit for this course. This country club is one that requires accuracy, and Sungjae Im is not a player that makes too many costly errors. In fact, only two players have shot more bogey-free rounds than him since the beginning of 2019. That type of steadiness is massive heading into this weekend. He'll just need to figure out a way to get it going with the putter, but we like his chances to do just that. 

According to our golf predictive analytics model, Sungjae Im is a 7.9% chance to win the Sony Open in Hawaii, a 26.1% chance to finish Top-5 and a 39.8% chance of finishing Top-10.

ALSO: Our PGA projections can give you head-to-head matchup predictions

---

Tom Hoge (+2800 at FanDuel) 

Hoge is 30th in the Official World Golf Rankings and 28th in our Dimers Golf Rankings. Now, we're counting on the 33-year-old to come through for us in an event that should have his name written all over it.  

In 2018, Hoge came in third place at this very event, but he held a one-stroke lead entering Sunday there. Fast forward five years later and we like Hoge's chances at getting some redemption. He's a player that should really thrive in these conditions, and we like that our model loves his chances to finish in the Top-5 or Top-10. You want to bet on a guy that will simply be in the running, and we'd be surprised if he isn't. 

According to our golf predictive analytics model, Tom Hoge is a 3.1% chance to win the Sony Open in Hawaii, a 14.2% chance to finish Top-5 and a 25.0% chance of finishing Top-10.

---

Maverick McNealy (+4500 at DraftKings) 

You want a dart to throw this weekend? Well, how about McNealy? Our model gives him the sixth-best chance of anyone to win this tournament, and you can get him at +4500 odds!

McNealy is another player that just really fits this course like a glove. He's insanely smooth with his putter, and this is an event that is going to come down to who can perform at a high level on the greens. He's also comfortable playing through some heavy wind, which is what these golfers are likely in for this weekend. 

According to our golf predictive analytics model, Maverick McNealy is a 3.4% chance to win the Sony Open in Hawaii, a 13.8% chance to finish Top-5 and a 24.7% chance of finishing Top-10.