Melbourne Storm vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction: Storm Predicted to Win Thursday's NRL Round 3 Matchup [3/20/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers matchup.

Melbourne Storm-Penrith Panthers Predictions and Game Preview.
AAMI Park sets the stage for the NRL matchup between the Melbourne Storm and Penrith Panthers this Thursday.

The Melbourne Storm will square off with the Penrith Panthers in National Rugby League (NRL) action at AAMI Park on Thursday, beginning at 5:00AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Storm as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Panthers-Storm game 10,000 times," said Pat Sharyon from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Storm with a win probability of 77% and the Panthers with 23%."

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Panthers vs. Storm predictions page.

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Storm vs. Panthers Prediction: Who Will Win Round 3 Game?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NRL matchup between the Panthers and Storm 10,000 times as part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Storm a 77% chance of defeating the Panthers.

According to our model, the Storm (-8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 has a 56% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:46AM, Mar 20
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Panthers
Win %
23%
77%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Storm
Panthers PEN
Win %
23%
77%
See Matchup
Storm MEL
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Panthers vs. Storm Odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Panthers Storm
H2H (Moneyline) +235 -303
Line (Spread) +8.5 (-105) -8.5 (-125)
Total o44.5 (-110) u44.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Storm vs. Panthers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's Australian rugby league game between the Storm and Panthers at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 5:00AM ET.

  • Who: Penrith Panthers vs. Melbourne Storm
  • Date: Thursday, March 20, 2025
  • Time: 5:00AM ET/2:00AM PT
  • Venue: AAMI Park

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Panthers vs. Storm matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Panthers vs. Storm picks, be sure to check out the latest NRL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Storm insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NRL

Keep up with the latest NRL news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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