Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Nov 11, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Nov 11, 2022

The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Friday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Penguins vs. Maple Leafs, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

 

Who will win Penguins vs. Maple Leafs?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Friday's Penguins-Maple Leafs NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 57% chance of getting the W against the Penguins.

More: Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10K Times

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Current Odds

  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+165), Penguins +1.5 (-189)
  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs -150, Penguins +130
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-104)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Maple Leafs are currently -1.5 favorites against the Penguins, with +165 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the puck line, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -189.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -150, which means you can risk $150 to win $100, for a total payout of $250, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at +130, where you can bet $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -104.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Penguins (+1.5) are a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets for Penguins vs. Maple Leafs

 

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and betting expertise to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Penguins moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Friday's Penguins-Maple Leafs matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Penguins and Maple Leafs.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Friday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 50.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Jake Guentzel: 6.7% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 6.3% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 5.6% probability
  • Bryan Rust: 5.4% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 4.3% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 10.8% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.8% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 5.6% probability
  • William Nylander: 5.4% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Jake Guentzel: 37.6% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 34.8% probability
  • Bryan Rust: 30.6% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 28.9% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 24.8% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 50.8% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 32.1% probability
  • William Nylander: 31.4% probability
  • John Tavares: 30.7% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 23.5% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this article for any changes to our betting insights before Penguins vs. Maple Leafs on Friday November 11, 2022.

 

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs 2022 Game Info

Friday's game between the Maple Leafs and Penguins at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Date: Friday November 11, 2022
  • Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? We've listed the best available welcome offers for every legal betting state.

What NHL games are on tonight?

The Penguins and Maple Leafs aren't the only two NHL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single NHL matchup in our NHL Bet Hub page.

Not only do we provide with you quality predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Puck Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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