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Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction and Odds - October 13, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction and Odds - October 13, 2023

The Washington Capitals will face the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Penguins vs. Capitals, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

 

Who Will Win: Penguins vs. Capitals

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Friday's Penguins-Capitals NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Penguins a 52% chance of defeating the Capitals.

More: Penguins vs. Capitals Simulated 10,000 Times

Penguins vs. Capitals Odds

  • Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-225), Penguins -1.5 (+195)
  • Moneyline: Capitals +105, Penguins -125
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-106)

The Capitals are currently +1.5 underdogs against the Penguins, with -225 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Penguins (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +195.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Capitals at +105. That means you can bet $100 to profit $105, earning a total payout of $205, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM also has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at -125, where you can risk $125 to win $100, for a total payout of $225, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -106.

As always, make sure you check all of the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Penguins vs. Capitals

  • Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 @ -225 via BetMGM (69% probability)
  • Moneyline: Capitals @ +105 via BetMGM
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Penguins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Capitals moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Friday's Penguins-Capitals game, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live scores.

Penguins vs. Capitals Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Capitals? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Penguins and Capitals.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Friday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Washington's Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Capitals.

DimersBOT gives Ovechkin a 7.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Capitals star is a 39.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Jake Guentzel: 6.6% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 5.7% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 5.2% probability
  • Reilly Smith: 4.9% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 4.1% probability

Washington Capitals

  • Alex Ovechkin: 7.7% probability
  • T.J. Oshie: 5.2% probability
  • Tom Wilson: 4.8% probability
  • Dylan Strome: 4.3% probability
  • Anthony Mantha: 4.0% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Jake Guentzel: 34.3% probability
  • Sidney Crosby: 32.1% probability
  • Evgeni Malkin: 26.1% probability
  • Reilly Smith: 25.8% probability
  • Rickard Rakell: 25.1% probability

Washington Capitals

  • Alex Ovechkin: 39.8% probability
  • T.J. Oshie: 26.0% probability
  • Tom Wilson: 24.9% probability
  • Dylan Strome: 24.5% probability
  • Anthony Mantha: 20.3% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Penguins vs. Capitals on Friday October 13, 2023.

 

Penguins vs. Capitals 2023

Friday's game between the Capitals and Penguins at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL? We've listed the best available welcome offers in each legal betting state.

Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Penguins vs. Capitals predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More NHL Predictions Like This?

So, you liked our Penguins vs. Capitals betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our NHL Betting News page has a comprehensive betting preview for every NHL game the second the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets, which allows us to write the most reliable NHL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

In addition to our leading NHL predictions, we also feature the best NHL prop bets today, projecting first and anytime goal scorers, and more against the top odds available every day of the NHL season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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