Patriots vs. Packers Week 4 Prediction and Odds - Oct 2, 2022

The Green Bay Packers take on the New England Patriots in NFL Week 4 action at Lambeau Field on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Patriots vs. Packers, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

This New England vs. Green Bay betting preview is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook, which is currently offering an awesome No Sweat First Bet deal up to $1,000 for new users.

Who will win Patriots vs. Packers?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Patriots-Packers NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Packers an 82% chance of getting the W against the Patriots in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Guide for Patriots vs. Packers

Patriots vs. Packers Week 4 Odds

• Spread: Packers -9.5 (-110), Patriots +9.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Packers -435, Patriots +400
• Total: Over/Under 39.5 (-114/-106)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Packers are -9.5 favorites versus the Patriots, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Patriots (+9.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Packers at -435, which means you can risk $435 to win $100, for a total payout of $535, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +400, where you can put down $100 to profit $400, earning a total payout of $500, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 39.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -114, as well as the best odds for the Under at -106.

As always, make sure you check all of the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Patriots (+9.5) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 39.5 points is a 56% chance of going Over.

More: Live Scores for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Patriots vs. Packers

• Spread: Patriots +9.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Packers @ -435 via DraftKings Sportsbook (82% probability)
• Total: Over 39.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook (56% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Patriots vs. Packers Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New England vs. Green Bay at Lambeau Field in Week 4 has the Packers winning 25-16.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Patriots-Packers matchup in Week 4, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.

Patriots vs. Packers Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Packers? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Packers, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Green Bay's Aaron Jones is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Packers.

DimersBOT gives Jones a 12.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Packers RB is a 46.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 8.4% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 7.7% probability
• DeVante Parker: 5.9% probability
• Hunter Henry: 4.8% probability
• Nelson Agholor: 4.0% probability

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 12.4% probability
• AJ Dillon: 9.8% probability
• Allen Lazard: 9.2% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 7.5% probability
• Robert Tonyan: 5.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 34.8% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 33.0% probability
• DeVante Parker: 25.3% probability
• Hunter Henry: 20.4% probability
• Nelson Agholor: 17.1% probability

Green Bay Packers

• Aaron Jones: 46.0% probability
• AJ Dillon: 38.3% probability
• Allen Lazard: 36.2% probability
• Romeo Doubs: 31.6% probability
• Robert Tonyan: 24.5% probability

Patriots-Packers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Brian Hoyer is projected for 204 passing yards, while the Packers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 249 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

• Brian Hoyer: 204 projected yards

Packers Starting QB

• Aaron Rodgers: 249 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Damien Harris: 50 projected yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 45 projected yards
• Pierre Strong: 7 projected yards

Packers Rushing

• Aaron Jones: 59 projected yards
• AJ Dillon: 49 projected yards
• Aaron Rodgers: 9 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• DeVante Parker: 49 projected yards
• Nelson Agholor: 43 projected yards
• Kendrick Bourne: 32 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 28 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 26 projected yards

Packers Receiving

• Romeo Doubs: 51 projected yards
• Allen Lazard: 49 projected yards
• Robert Tonyan: 31 projected yards
• Aaron Jones: 30 projected yards
• Randall Cobb: 26 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this article for the latest betting analysis ahead of Patriots vs. Packers on Sunday October 2, 2022.

Patriots vs. Packers 2022

The NFL Week 4 game between the Packers and Patriots at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Sunday October 2, 2022
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field

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