Patriots vs. Cowboys Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

The Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots are scheduled to meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Patriots vs. Cowboys, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

Today's New England vs. Dallas betting analysis is presented by Bet365, which has a Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Who Will Win: Patriots vs. Cowboys

Using trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Patriots-Cowboys NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Cowboys a 73% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Picks for Patriots vs. Cowboys

Patriots vs. Cowboys Odds

• Spread: Cowboys -6.5 (-105), Patriots +6.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Cowboys -260, Patriots +230
• Total: Over/Under 43 (-110/-110)

The Cowboys are currently -6.5 favorites against the Patriots, with -105 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Patriots (+6.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -108.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Cowboys at -260, which means you can risk $260 to win $100, for a total payout of $360, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +230, where you can bet $100 to profit $230, earning a total payout of $330, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 43 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Patriots (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Patriots vs. Cowboys

• Spread: Patriots +6.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Cowboys @ -260 via PointsBet (73% probability)
• Total: Over 43 @ -110 via PointsBet (53% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you make more informed decisions with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

Patriots vs. Cowboys Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New England vs. Dallas at AT&T Stadium in Week 4 has the Cowboys winning 24-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Patriots-Cowboys game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live scores.

Patriots vs. Cowboys Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Cowboys? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Cowboys, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Dallas' Tony Pollard is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Cowboys.

DimersBOT gives Pollard a 15.7% chance of scoring the first TD at AT&T Stadium, while the Cowboys RB is a 56.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.2% probability
• Ezekiel Elliott: 6.5% probability
• Hunter Henry: 5.9% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 5.6% probability
• DeVante Parker: 3.9% probability

Dallas Cowboys

• Tony Pollard: 15.7% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 10.6% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 6.4% probability
• Jake Ferguson: 6.0% probability
• Michael Gallup: 5.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 38.4% probability
• Ezekiel Elliott: 28.7% probability
• Hunter Henry: 26.0% probability
• Kendrick Bourne: 25.5% probability
• DeVante Parker: 17.7% probability

Dallas Cowboys

• Tony Pollard: 56.9% probability
• CeeDee Lamb: 41.9% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 27.6% probability
• Jake Ferguson: 26.5% probability
• Dak Prescott: 22.7% probability

Patriots-Cowboys Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 218 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for 236 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 218 projected yards

Cowboys Starting QB

• Dak Prescott: 236 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 64 projected yards
• Ezekiel Elliott: 29 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 9 projected yards

Cowboys Rushing

• Tony Pollard: 81 projected yards
• Rico Dowdle: 19 projected yards
• Dak Prescott: 16 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Kendrick Bourne: 45 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 40 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 30 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 29 projected yards
• Demario Douglas: 28 projected yards

Cowboys Receiving

• CeeDee Lamb: 70 projected yards
• Brandin Cooks: 49 projected yards
• Jake Ferguson: 39 projected yards
• Michael Gallup: 38 projected yards
• Tony Pollard: 27 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Patriots vs. Cowboys on Sunday October 1, 2023.

Patriots vs. Cowboys 2023

The NFL Week 4 game between the Cowboys and Patriots at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
• Time: 4:25PM ET / 1:25PM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Patriots vs. Cowboys picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What NFL Games Are on Today?

Now you've got the 411 on Patriots vs. Cowboys, check out the latest analysis for all NFL games via our NFL picks and predictions. There you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for each and every NFL matchup. Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.