Patriots vs. Browns Week 6 Prediction and Odds - Oct 16, 2022

The Cleveland Browns face the New England Patriots in NFL Week 6 action at FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Patriots vs. Browns, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Patriots vs. Browns?

Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Patriots-Browns NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Browns a 60% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 6 of the NFL season.

More: Patriots vs. Browns Simulated 10K Times

Patriots vs. Browns Odds

• Spread: Browns -2.5 (-105), Patriots +2.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Browns -140, Patriots +125
• Total: Over/Under 43 (-110/-105)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Browns are currently -2.5 favorites versus the Patriots, with -105 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Patriots (+2.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at -140. That means you can risk $140 to win $100, for a total payout of $240, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +125, where you can bet $100 to profit $125, earning a total payout of $225, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and Browns are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 43 points is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Patriots vs. Browns

• Spread: Patriots +2.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Browns @ -140 via DraftKings Sportsbook (60% probability)
• Total: Under 43 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Patriots vs. Browns Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New England vs. Cleveland at FirstEnergy Stadium in Week 6 has the Browns prevailing 22-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Patriots-Browns matchup in Week 6, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Patriots vs. Browns Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Browns? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Browns, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Cleveland's Nick Chubb is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Browns.

DimersBOT gives Chubb a 16.7% chance of getting in for six first at FirstEnergy Stadium, while the Browns RB is a 60.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 11.7% probability
• Hunter Henry: 6.6% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 6.4% probability
• DeVante Parker: 4.4% probability
• Nelson Agholor: 3.7% probability

Cleveland Browns

• Nick Chubb: 16.7% probability
• Amari Cooper: 8.3% probability
• Kareem Hunt: 7.7% probability
• David Njoku: 7.0% probability
• Donovan Peoples-Jones: 5.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 48.1% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 28.6% probability
• Hunter Henry: 28.3% probability
• DeVante Parker: 19.2% probability
• Nelson Agholor: 16.9% probability

Cleveland Browns

• Nick Chubb: 60.3% probability
• Amari Cooper: 34.8% probability
• Kareem Hunt: 33.0% probability
• David Njoku: 29.5% probability
• Donovan Peoples-Jones: 24.5% probability

Patriots-Browns Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 238 passing yards, while the Browns' Jacoby Brissett is expected to throw for 222 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 238 projected yards

Browns Starting QB

• Jacoby Brissett: 222 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 85 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 11 projected yards
• Kevin Harris: 11 projected yards

Browns Rushing

• Nick Chubb: 106 projected yards
• Kareem Hunt: 47 projected yards
• Jacoby Brissett: 11 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 52 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 37 projected yards
• Nelson Agholor: 30 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 30 projected yards
• Kendrick Bourne: 25 projected yards

Browns Receiving

• Amari Cooper: 64 projected yards
• Donovan Peoples-Jones: 42 projected yards
• David Njoku: 38 projected yards
• Kareem Hunt: 23 projected yards
• Harrison Bryant: 21 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Patriots vs. Browns on Sunday October 16, 2022.

Patriots vs. Browns 2022

The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Browns and Patriots at FirstEnergy Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns
• Date: Sunday October 16, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium

Enjoy Dimers.com and want to keep the site free? Every time you join a sportsbook featured here, we get paid a small fee.

These fees help us keep Dimers free for sports fans like you. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our featured sports betting partners now.

Want more NFL predictions like this?

To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Patriots vs. Browns, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can write the best NFL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.