Paris Olympics Golf Best Bets: Xander Schauffele, Scottie Scheffler Offer Value in Paris

It's time for the 2024 Men's Olympics Golf tournament!

The BOT has been hot lately, and very nearly cashed yet another +1000 matchups parlay at the 3M Open, missing by one leg. Fresh off calling a +2500 outright winner with Davis Thompson at the John Deere Classicfor his first-ever win, we predicted Xander Schauffele to win his second major at The Open and he delivered. Can we add to our success with a couple of calls at the 2024 Paris Olympic Games?

As we exist outside of the PGA calendar this week, our predictive analytics model has run custom simulations for the 2024 Paris Olympics Men's Golf Tournament, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. 60 golfers will compete at Le Golf National, the 2018 Ryder Cup venue.

2024 Olympics Golf Best Bets

Scottie Scheffler to Win (+400)

The No. 1 golfer in the world is unsurprisingly the favorite to win against the rest of the world's best at the Le Golf National this weekend.

Scheffler gets a hair under 25% to win the tournament and bring home the gold, translating to fair odds of +300. You can presently get Scheff for +400, while his odds are just +330 at others.

With out fair price being +300 for Scheffler, you get a little value everywhere, with the most on his +400 odds.

He also has value in Top 5 at -115 and 62.1%.

Xander Schauffele to Win (+650)

Next up is the only golfer who could give Scheffler a run for his money when the year is all said and done, Xander Schauffele, winner of two majors this year, including at his most recent event, The Open.

Odds of+650 translate to just aa 13.3% probability of winning Gold, while we've got him at almost 20% for a big 6.4% edge. For reference, our fair odds for Schauffele would be +410!

Also has value in his Top 5 at +130 and 55.8%.

Corey Conners to Win (+3500)

The only non-American in our winner picks, Corey Conners will represent Canada at the 2024 Paris Games. His odds are nearly all the same across the books, however, as of this writing you'll get +3500 at one.

Conners has had some impressive runs lately, with all three of his T10 or better finishes coming since the start of June. He's golfed well at all four majors this year, finishing as high as T9 at The U.S. Open.

His 3.8% probability to win presents fair odds of +2500, a full +1000 shorter than the odds we're getting on offer, which equate to 2.8% probability, meaning that seemingly small 1% difference represents a full +1000 discrepancy in the odds.

Also has value in his Top 5 at +500 and 20.7%.

Wyndham Clark to Win (+7000)

The final winner pick is the longest odds of them all, but when you see a fair price on a player with as much talent as Wyndham Clark, and that fair price is way out at +7000, it's worth a sprinkle.

Now, Clark is not a value play, but his odds on the book are exactly what we have him projected for and when you consider he's as short as just +4500 on other books, you can see why he's a play, even though he's at just 1.4% to win.

Clark has as much upside as anyone in this field. He's got a win, two Top 2 finishes, a T3, plus a T9 and T10 in 2 of his past 3 events before bein cut at The Open. He's not been great at major tournament, only making the cut at the U.S. Open.

If it's an edge you're after, Clark's not your guy, but if you want a play that's being undervalued at certain books, you'll find a bet worth making at +7000.

Collin Morikawa Top 5 (+220)

He may be the only American in the Olympic field to not get the nod from the BOT as a winner pick, but Collin Morikawa has got an edge in his Top 5 placement.

Of his seven Top 10 finishes this year, five of them have come in the Top 5 and four of those have come since the PGA Championship in mid-May. 

His 34.1% probability of A Top 5 finish is about +190 for a fair price, where you'll find him on the other books, making his +220 odds at one a smart play. You can get him at +200 for Top 5 if you play the "includes ties" market.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout Top 5 (+1000)

Our final play is on South African Christiaan Bezuidenhout to make splash at the Paris Games and crack the Top 5.

At generous odds of +1000 (he's just +850 at others), Bezuidenhout gets a 12.3% probability from our model, which would make the fair price for this play +700. That means he's still value, even at his worst odds.

He's got a pair of such finishes this year, a 2nd place to open the year and a 4th place as recently as the Memorial Tournament in June.

 These aren't necessarily the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. 

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