Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds - Apr 20, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds - Apr 20, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres lock horns in MLB action at Chase Field on Thursday, starting at 9:40PM ET.

Ryne Nelson (1-0, 3.71 ERA) will start for the Diamondbacks, pitting him against Michael Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) for the Padres.

Dimers' top betting picks for Padres vs. Diamondbacks, plus game predictions and betting odds, are detailed in this article.

 

Who will win Padres vs. Diamondbacks?

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Padres-Diamondbacks MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Padres a 54% chance of getting the W against the Diamondbacks.

More: Padres vs. Diamondbacks Simulated 10K Times

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Odds

  • Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125), Padres -1.5 (+115)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +120, Padres -136
  • Total: Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-120)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Diamondbacks are listed as +1.5 underdogs against the Padres, with -125 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Padres (-1.5) to cover the run line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +115.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Diamondbacks at +120. That means you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Padres at -136, where you can risk $136 to win $100, for a total payout of $236, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 10.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, as well as the best odds for the Under at -120.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) are a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 10.5 runs is a 55% chance of going Under.

More: Track Your Bets via Bet Center

Best Bets for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

  • Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -125 via PointsBet (59% probability)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +120 via BetMGM (0.4% edge)
  • Total: Under 10.5 @ -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook (55% probability)

 

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Padres are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Diamondbacks moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Probabilities

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Padres-Diamondbacks matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting insights before Padres vs. Diamondbacks on Thursday April 20, 2023.

 

Padres vs. Diamondbacks 2023 Game Info

Thursday's action between the Diamondbacks and Padres at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 9:40PM ET.

  • Who: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Thursday April 20, 2023
  • Time: 9:40PM ET / 6:40PM PT
  • Venue: Chase Field

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on MLB now? We've listed the best available sign-up offers for each legal betting state.

Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Want more MLB predictions like this?

So, you liked our Padres vs. Diamondbacks betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our MLB Betting News section has a comprehensive betting preview for every MLB game the second the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets, which allows us to create the most reliable MLB betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

As well as MLB game picks and predicitons, Dimers also provides the best MLB prop bets for today, with our projections for home runs, RBIs, and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the MLB season.

Lastly, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the World Series, with our data-led probabilities compared to the best odds on the market.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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