Packers vs. Raiders: Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay

The 2023 NFL season is rolling along and Dimers has got you covered for Monday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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NFL +390 Same Game Parlay For Monday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Jordan Love Under 233.5 Passing Yards	-120
Jayden Reed Under 3.5 Receptions	-166
Davante Adams Anytime TD	-115

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Packers vs. Raiders Parlay Analysis

Packers vs. Raiders 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Jordan Love Under 233.5 Passing Yards

We start tonight's parlay with Packers quarterback Jordan Love and his passing yards prop. Our model is extremely high on the Unders for Love's passing props as well as the Packers' receiving corps. The Raiders' defense is giving up 25.3 points per game, but has managed to stifle offenses through the air, allowing just over 200 passing yards a game at 202.8, the 12th-best mark in the league. They're seeing opposing offenses deploy a nearly 50/50 split between pass and rush plays, largely in part to how vulnerable they are on the ground. They have the eight-worst rushing defense in the league and just gave up 155 yards on the ground to the Chargers. Love has cleared this mark in three of four games this season but our model expects Green Bay to lean on the run game, projecting him for just 202 passing yards tonight.

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LEG 2: Jayden Reed Under 3.5 Receptions

Our next leg checks all the boxes: correlates with our first leg, follows a solid trend to start the season, and gets some raw value in the odds, despite being the juiciest leg of the parlay. Jayden Reed became an early-season target for Jordan Love in the red zone, catching four of his first six catches inside the 20, including a pair of TD catches. Despite seeing 5, 8, 7 and 5 targets in each of his first four games, he's only reeled in at least four catches once, and that was in his eight-target game. Now, Christian Watson is back and fully healthy, Luke Musgrave returns to the lineup after commanding 15 targets through his first three games, and Aaron Jones could be back and he's always good for at least a handful of targets, meaning there will be plenty of mouths to feed. Pair all of that with the expectation of run-game emphasis by the Packers and this lines up well. This is DimersBOT's second-highest edge for a prop in this game, to go along with a 77.8% probability. 

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LEG 3: Davante Adams Anytime TD

To close it out, we're grabbing Davante Adams to score a touchdown against his former team. Adams hasn't practiced all week since hurting his shoulder in Week 4's loss to the Raiders, but the expectation is that he'll suit up. It's too good of a spot to pass up for Adams, who will undoubtedly be playing with a little extra motivation. Even with professional game manager Jimmy Garoppolo and rookie backup Aidan O'Connell under center, Adams has commanded nearly double-digit targets in every game, with 50 passes coming his way on the year already. Adams has the highest TD probability of anyone in this game per our model, with a 58.5% chance of finding the end zone. 

🏈 Packers vs. Raiders Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Packers vs. Raiders

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NFL +390 Same Game Parlay Monday, October 9, 2023

1️⃣ Jordan Love Under 233.5 Passing Yards
2️⃣ Jayden Reed Under 3.5 Receptions
3️⃣ Davante Adams Anytime TD

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

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