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Packers vs. Dolphins Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 25, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Packers vs. Dolphins Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 25, 2022

The Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers clash in Week 16 of the NFL season at Hard Rock Stadium on Christmas Day, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Packers vs. Dolphins, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

 

Who will win Packers vs. Dolphins?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Packers-Dolphins NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Dolphins a 56% chance of getting the W against the Packers in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Packers vs. Dolphins

Packers vs. Dolphins Game Odds

  • Spread: Dolphins -3.5 (-105), Packers +3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins -175, Packers +160
  • Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-106/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Dolphins are listed as -3.5 favorites versus the Packers, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Packers (+3.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -175, which means you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Packers at +160, where you can bet $100 to profit $160, earning a total payout of $260, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 49.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -106, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Packers (+3.5) are a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 16 Game

Best Bets for Packers vs. Dolphins

 

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Dimers' best bets today across any sport.

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every time.

While the Dolphins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Packers moneyline is the best option because of the 5.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Packers vs. Dolphins Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Green Bay vs. Miami at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 16 has the Dolphins winning 25-23.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Packers-Dolphins matchup in Week 16, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live scores.

Packers vs. Dolphins Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Packers vs. Dolphins? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Packers and Dolphins, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Miami's Tyreek Hill is most likely to score the first touchdown in Packers vs. Dolphins.

DimersBOT gives Hill a 17.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins WR is a 64.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron Jones: 11.4% probability
  • Christian Watson: 9.0% probability
  • Randall Cobb: 5.7% probability
  • Allen Lazard: 5.6% probability
  • AJ Dillon: 5.0% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 17.0% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 9.2% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 8.5% probability
  • Jeff Wilson: 5.9% probability
  • Trent Sherfield: 4.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron Jones: 50.8% probability
  • Christian Watson: 42.0% probability
  • Randall Cobb: 28.2% probability
  • Allen Lazard: 27.2% probability
  • AJ Dillon: 25.5% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 64.6% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 41.6% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 39.6% probability
  • Jeff Wilson: 29.2% probability
  • Trent Sherfield: 21.9% probability

Packers-Dolphins Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Aaron Rodgers is projected for 230 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for a whopping 292 yards.

Packers Starting QB

  • Aaron Rodgers: 230 projected yards

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 292 projected yards

Packers Rushing

  • Aaron Jones: 70 projected yards
  • AJ Dillon: 40 projected yards
  • Patrick Taylor: 10 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

  • Raheem Mostert: 56 projected yards
  • Jeff Wilson: 37 projected yards
  • Tua Tagovailoa: 8 projected yards

Packers Receiving

  • Christian Watson: 55 projected yards
  • Allen Lazard: 41 projected yards
  • Randall Cobb: 39 projected yards
  • Aaron Jones: 29 projected yards
  • AJ Dillon: 27 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

  • Tyreek Hill: 94 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 76 projected yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 24 projected yards
  • Jeff Wilson: 19 projected yards
  • Trent Sherfield: 18 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights before Packers vs. Dolphins on Sunday December 25, 2022.

 

Packers vs. Dolphins 2022

The NFL Week 16 action between the Dolphins and Packers at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins
  • Date: Sunday December 25, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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Want more NFL analysis like this?

So, you liked our Packers vs. Dolphins betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NFL Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every NFL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to create the most accurate NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

It's only a click away, so why not take a look around?

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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