Pac-12 Conference Best Bets - College Football Betting Preview

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Written by Greg Waddell
Pac-12 Conference Best Bets - College Football Betting Preview

The college football season is almost here! Gone are the boring Saturdays filled with wondering what baseball game you have to tune into to pass the time after a family walk and mowing the lawn. Crack a cold one, and let's get ready to bet some college football. Today we look at the Pac-12 conference, and advise you on our model's Best Bets.

There's plenty of ways to make money betting college football, whether it's futures, against the spread picks or player props. Our goal here at Dimers is to make sure you have all the resources you need to be profitable. That's why we're previewing every major conference in college football before the season begins.

MORE: The 5 Highest Edge College Football Bets to Make Before the Season

Before we get started, we have to recommend that you head over to our revamped Best Sportsbooks section which features an all-new user-friendly look, complete with in-depth reviews of every online sportsbook. Even better, you’ll be able to see which books are available to you specifically along with every exclusive promo offer you can take advantage of. College football is one of the most popular sports in the United States for betting and there are countless daily and weekly promotions throughout the season. Having access to every possible book you can is crucial to turning a long-term profit over the season and beyond.

 

College Football Conference Previews

ACC | Big 10 | SEC | Big 12

Pac-12 Conference Preview

The Basics

2023 Championship Game: Utah defeated USC 47-24

# of Teams in Bowl Games: Seven

College Football Playoff Participants: None

Bowl Record: 3-4

Bowl Wins: Oregon State (Las Vegas Bowl), Oregon (Holiday Bowl), Washington (Alamo Bowl)

Bowl Losses: Washington State (Los Angeles Bowl), UCLA (Sun Bowl), USC (Cotton Bowl), Utah (Rose Bowl)

The Pac-12 was full of excitement last season, as evidenced by the best player in the entire sport of college football (USC quarterback Caleb Williams) bringing home the Heisman Trophy. It's rare that a Heisman-winner returns to school, but Williams will be back for Lincoln Riley, along with a ton of other talented Trojans.

Looking ahead to this season, there's a bunch of teams with hope for a great season. The conference projects as one of the most competitive groups in all of college football, with plenty of contenders both in the conference and at the national level. So where's the value? Let's dive in.

Contenders: USC, Oregon, Washington, Utah

Moreso than any other conference in the country, the Pac-12 is "wide open", even if it feels like USC is a massive favorite. DimersBOT has four different programs with between a 15% and a 32% chance of taking home the Pac-12 crown, and when you start to look closer, you realize just how likely each of them are.

The favorite is USC, who as mentioned above, returns the best player in college football and the likely first overall pick in the NFL draft, quarterback Caleb Williams. Outside of head to head struggled against Utah, Williams was totally dominant and eviscerated all of college football. It's rare to see a player as productive as him at the quarterback position, and it's even more rare to see that player return for anther season. The defense should also be much improved, but USC's schedule is incredibly tough, and if they fall behind, there's reason to believe Williams may not play the entire season.

Next up is Oregon, who gets to play USC at home. Last season the Ducks were incredibly close to a College Football Playoff appearance, but an ankle injury to quarterback Bo Nix cost them their shot. With some new additions at wide receiver, the Oregon offense will be even more explosive this season. Bettors get better odds backing the Ducks than the Trojans, so if you're looking for value, that may be the better play. Oregon has a 23% probability of winning the conference compared to USC's 32%.

Beyond the two favorites, Washington and Utah both qualify as "contenders" with 19% and a 15% probabilities to win the league respectively. Washington is led by star quarterback Michael Penix Jr., and Utah, the defending champions, return 14 starters from the squad that won back to back Pac-12 titles.

Sleeper Pick: UCLA

Outside of the top four, it's hard to see anyone having enough noise to truly win the league. But if you're seeking a longshot, the Bruins are the best value you'll find. DimersBOT gives UCLA a 6% chance to take home the Pac-12 title, which at +1800 odds, is a much better value than say, Oregon States +1100 odds with an 8% chance to win the league.

Best Bets To Make:

1. Utah to win the Pac-12 (+550)
2. Oregon to make the Pac-12 title game (+120)
3. Utah to make the Pac-12 title game (+260)
 
We're backing the two-time defending champions as the best value on the board. While most recreational bettors are looking to bet USC, there's too much that could go wrong for the Trojans, and DimersBOT grades it out as one of the worst values on the board. We'll happily jump in and back Utah and Oregon to have successful seasons.

MORE: Week 1 Game-by-Game Predictions

Get a head start on your college football wagers with our full slate of CFB tools, all powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics model known as ‘DimersBOT!’ We run 1000s of simulations for every game all season long to help identify where the books are mispricing their odds, all to help you turn a profit.

Remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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