Our Top 5 Parlay Bets for NBA on Thursday [12/28/2023]

In the ever-evolving landscape of NBA player prop bets, tonight's matchups present a golden opportunity to capitalize on individual player performances. By strategically combining five key prop bets, an NBA Parlay with enticing +2519 odds emerges. Let's dissect each player prop bet, supported by statistical trends, to justify their inclusion in this potentially lucrative parlay.

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NBA Parlay Odds for Thursday

Bojan Bogdanovic Over 17.5 Points Scored (-120)

Bojan Bogdanovic of the Detroit Pistons has been a consistent scoring threat. The odds of -120 suggest a 62.0% probability of him surpassing 17.5 points. Bolstering this proposition is the fact that Bogdanovic has exceeded 18.5 points in 15 of his last 22 games, indicating a scoring prowess that aligns well with the 7.4% edge. 

Coby White Under 24.5 Points Scored (-115)

In the Chicago Bulls vs. Indiana Pacers clash, Coby White's point total is set at 24.5, with odds implying a 61.6% probability of him falling short. White's recent performances support this, as he has scored under 24.5 points in the majority of his games. The 8.1% edge adds confidence to this under bet, suggesting that White might face defensive challenges against the Pacers, limiting his scoring opportunities.

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Anfernee Simons Under 27.5 Points Scored (-110)

Anfernee Simons of the Portland Trail Blazers faces the San Antonio Spurs with a point total set at 27.5. The odds of -110 indicate a 59.8% probability of Simons not reaching this mark, supported by a 7.4% edge. His recent scoring consistency suggests that he is likely to fall below this threshold. With the Spurs boasting a solid defense, Simons might find it challenging to accumulate points, making the under bet a strategic choice.

Bam Adebayo Under 22.5 Points Scored (-105)

Bam Adebayo's prop bet in the Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat matchup offers intriguing value. The odds of -105 suggest a 59.0% probability of Adebayo scoring under 22.5 points, with a noteworthy 7.8% edge. Considering Adebayo's recent performances and the defensive prowess of the Warriors, there's a strong case for him falling short of the designated point total.

Zion Williamson Over 4.5 Total Assists (+105)

In the New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz game, Zion Williamson's total assists prop bet presents an interesting opportunity. At +105 odds, there's a 57.3% implied probability of Williamson recording over 4.5 assists. The supporting trend adds weight to this bet, as Williamson has achieved this feat in 9 of his last 17 games. Facing the Utah Jazz, who may focus on containing his scoring, Williamson is likely to facilitate plays and exceed the assist threshold.

NBA Parlay Bets: 12/28/2023

Having simulated every one of Thursday's NBA games over 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the five best player props to use in a prop bets parlay.

Player (Team)	Prop Bet
Bojan Bogdanovic (DET)	Over 17.5 Points
Coby White (CHI)	Under 24.5 Points
Anfernee Simons (POR)	Under 27.5 Points
Bam Adebayo (MIA)	Under 22.5 Points
Zion Williamson (NOP)	Over 4.5 Assists

By strategically combining these five player prop bets, a parlay with enticing +2519 odds emerges. The statistical trends supporting each bet provide a rationale for the selections, offering a balanced mix of scoring expectations and playmaking potential. As with any sports betting, it's essential to consider the unpredictable nature of the game, but the analysis of player trends provides a solid foundation for an exciting and potentially profitable NBA parlay on this Thursday night.