Our Best NFL Picks to Parlay for NFL Saturday Games

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Our Best NFL Picks to Parlay for NFL Saturday Games

It's that wonderful time of year when the NFL graces our screens on Saturday, and not with just one or two games, but a three-game slate taking place in each of the usual time slots. This is easily the best time of year to be an NFL fan; with bye weeks all finished and more game days than ever, we have so many betting opportunities. Dimers' mission is to deliver you the best NFL bets, player props and NFL predictions to guide you through the bet-verse. 

With three games on today, we're taking our best bet from each and rolling them together for our NFL Parlay of the Day. By using the power of our model's predictive analytics, we're able to find the most probable and best value plays to use. You'll find today's +548 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Speaking of finding the best odds, the only way to always guarantee that is to have multiple sportsbooks, as Dimers has reported in detail via our Best Sportsbooks section. Between daily promos and unique sign-up offers, having multiple books is the best way to increase your profitability. As Dimers also revealed, you could even win a trip to Las Vegas for the Super Bowl, just by betting on the NFL!

If you're new to DraftKings which we're using today, then you're in luck because they're offering a $150 sign-up bonus to new users who bet their first $5. That's a lot of bonus bets to use for this week's NFL action! Claim it here or via the offer below if you haven't already.

 

Best NFL Picks and Parlay - Saturday, December 16

Now, if you turn these bets into an SGPx by adding an additional leg from one or more games, you'll make it no-sweat eligible at DraftKings, meaning if it loses, you'll get your bet back up to your indicated max wager. Just food for thought!

LEG 1: Bengals -3 (-112)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Cincinnati Bengals 1:00PM EST

We start off in the early game and it's Battle of the North as we task the Bengals to cover the three-point spread when they host the Vikings on Saturday. For all of their struggles this season, Cincinnati is right there in the playoff hunt. Joe Burrow went down with a wrist injury a month ago and Cincy has turned to Jake Browning to guide them into the postseason. Browning has played well; after losing his first start against the Steelers, they've won back-to-back games, including an OT grinder against Jacksonville in which Browning really showed his stuff. Meanwhile, the Vikings are reeling. The Josh "Passtrounaut" Dobbs era ended almost as soon as it began, with Dobbs now the third-string emergency QB. Kevin O'Connell has handed the keys to veteran backup Nick Mullens. Anytime a guy is getting his first start with a team, it's a bit of a precarious situation. Minnesota's defense is a top-10 unit and the Bengals are a bit of a defensive funnel, so Mullens has some stuff to lean on, but we'll back our model's projection of Cincy to cover with a 56% probability

MORE: Our Best Week 15 NFL Touchdown Picks and Parlay

LEG 2: Under 42

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts 4:30PM EST

What happens when the NFL's team with the best over/under record meets the team with the worst? We're about to find out this afternoon. The Colts have gone over the total in nine games. The Steelers? Just three times. Indianapolis has been one of this season's biggest surprises; they're winning despite Gardner Minshew starting under center and have a legit path to the postseason if they can keep winning at this rate. The Steelers, on the other hand, have to be the worst over .500 teams in history. Even with Kenny Pickett, their offense struggled to move the ball and has failed to score 20 points in four straight games. Despite all that, their defense is a steel curtain. They allow the seventh-fewest points per game and have a top-10 red zone defense that barely allows rushing touchdowns. We're not expecting offensive prowess from the Steelers and the Colts defense has picked it up in December. Back the model's 54% probability of the under in this AFC duel.

Check out our Top 10 NFL props on Saturday!

LEG 3: Broncos +5.5 (-126)

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions 8:15PM EST

Time to close it out! This line has moved a point since our model identified the +5.5 as a play, so you have two options: take the +4.5 at -105, or buy the extra point with the alternate spread of +5.5 at -126. That'd be our recommendation as DimersBOT says this is a close one, with the Broncos getting a 51% chance of a cover. We don't like the over/under in this one and the odds on the favored Lions are too short to be worth playing. But what we do like is a Broncos team that suddenly finds itself one game behind the Chiefs in the AFC West, playing a Lions team that continues to fall flat in big spots and has been hemorrhaging points lately, 28.3 per game over their last three to be precise, while Denver has locked up opponents to the tune of just 13.7 points per game in that span. Denver has the momentum and the clear goal and the ability to keep this one tight. Turnovers will be key in this game and Jared Goff has turned the ball over nine times in his past four games.

 

 

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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