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Our Best NBA Player Props To Parlay in Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans Play-In Game
The NBA Play-In concludes tonight! One of the best innovations to the NBA's postseason format in a long time will wrap up tonight with two teams punching their tickets to the NBA Playoffs.
Tonight, we're cooking up a Same Game Parlay powered by the DimersBOT and our loyal Twitter/X followers have voted for the Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans game to be our featured matchup, a rematch of the game that forced the Kings into the lower-seeded playoff matchup. They've been swept by the Pels this season, but there's no Zion Williamson tonight.
We're making this SGP because DraftKings is going big with a No-Sweat Same Game parlay token for every day of the NBA playoffs, meaning if we lose, we get our bet back as a bonus!
Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we have identified three player props worth betting on in the Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans game.
By using both our player prop bets and top trends sourced from our predictive analytics model, we've made this three-leg NBA Parlay that clocks in at +650 odds. Let's break down the key player prop bets and trends that make this parlay a potential goldmine on Friday night, April 19.
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NBA Prop Bets Parlay Tonight - April 19, 2024
As mentioned, we are looking at the Play-In game featuring the Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans game with a parlay that clocks in at +650.
You can find numerous props with an edge, as well as prop projections for 20 players with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on this parlay, you're sure to find a value play that's right for you.
1. CJ McCollum 5+ Three-Pointers Made (+150)
For our first leg, we're grabbing an alternate line on a prop our model finds value in. McCollum is priced at -142 to go over his 3.5 3PM line, which our model favors with a significant 66% probability, to go along with a projection of 4.7.
That comes in just under 5 threes, but at +150 for the alternate line, the value is clear. Furthermore, McCollum has made 9, 7 and 3 three-pointers in three games vs. the Kings this year, with the 3 game coming way back in December.
Recently, McCollum has hit 5+ in five of his past eight games, and without Zion tonight, he'll need to be funnel for this offense, plus betting on #3 to make threes just feels right!
Full Game Projections: Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans Preview
2. Domantas Sabonis Over 18.5 Points (-115)
Next we're backing Domantas Sabonis to go over his points line of 18.5. The Pelicans haven't made life easy for Sabonis this season, keeping him under his usual assists and rebounds averages, while he's been more consistent as a scorer.
In five games vs. New Orleans, Sabonis has scored 18, 17, 26, 23 and 10 points. He gets a nice projection of 21 points from DimersBOT tonight so we see a little bit of a buffer. Things should get a little easier underneath without Zion's looming presence. His lowest scoring outputs vs. New Orleans came in blowouts, and this game should be closer than the recent meetings between these teams given the 1-point spread
3. De'Aaron Fox Under 5.5 Rebounds (-148)
For our final leg we're taking an under. De'Aaron Fox is a prime candidate to take the under here as he averages 4.6 boards per game, hasn't cleared this mark against New Orleans once this season, averaging just 3.2 per game vs. the Pelicans.
He draws a projection of 4.3 from DimersBOT tonight, nearly two full boards under the mark he'd need to hit to go over. And to top it off, New Orleans has the #1 rebounding defense against PG, allowing 5.0 per game, a full half-board less than the next team (Philadelphia).
+650 NBA Parlay Tonight: April 19, 2024
Having simulated the Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the three best player props to use in a prop bets parlay, and don't forget to apply your "No-Sweat" Token to your betslip!
Player (Team) | Prop Bet | Projection |
---|---|---|
CJ McCollum (Pelicans) | 5+ Threes | 4.7 3PM |
Domantas Sabonis (Kings) | Over 18.5 Points | 21 PTS |
De'Aaron Fox (Kings) | Under 5.5 Rebounds | 4.3 REB |
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