Our Best MLB Player Props To Parlay in Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants on April 18

We've got just a two-game MLB slate on Thursday night and we've cooked up a little +513 same game parlay in the Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants game to use with FanDuel's "no-sweat" parlay offer.

That "no-sweat" promo available on FanDuel means if our parlay loses, we get our stake back as a bonus bet, so let's take advantage with our model's projections tonight.

Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we have identified three player props worth betting on in the Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants game.

By using both our player prop bets and top trends sourced from our predictive analytics model, we've made this three-leg MLB Parlay that clocks in at +513 odds. Let's break down the key player prop bets and trends that make this parlay a potential goldmine on Thursday, April 18.

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MLB Prop Bets Parlay Tonight - April 18, 2024

As mentioned, we have just a two-game MLB slate and we'll be zeroing in on the Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants at 9:45PM ET.

You can find as many over 30 bets and props with an edge in tonight's games with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on this parlay, you're sure to find a value play that's right for you.

1. Logan Webb Over 4.5 Strikeouts

We start off with Giants starter Logan Webb to go over 4.5 strikeouts against the D-Backs. Webb cleared this mark in his first two starts but has gone under in his past two. He had nearly 200 strikeouts last season but his K rate and Chase % are down from last year.

While that seems like a concern, particularly against he lineup that strikes out the least in MLB, our model is projecting a strong probability of 66.0% for Webb to go over which gives us a substantial edge of 12.5%. Webb has excellent history against this Arizona lineup and here's how some of tonight's potential starters have fared against Webb in the past:

• Marte: 7 K in 21 PA
• Peterson: 4 K in 8 PA
• Suarez: 3 K in 7 PA
• Grichuk: 3 K in 10 PA

Full Game Projections: Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

2. Ryne Nelson Over 4.5 Strikeouts

The next leg is the same bet on the other side, as we take Diamondbacks' starter Ryne Nelson to go over 4.5 strikeouts. Unlike Webb, Nelson's metrics are up from last season, drastically improving his K, Chase and Whiff percentages. He's gone over this number once in three starts with 7 Ks against the Braves, a team that ranks right alongside the Giants in Ks per game.

Nelson gets a 48.9% probability to go over, which while not nearly as strong as Webb, identifies a substantial edge of 5% as his odds are +138.

3. Patrick Bailey to Get a Hit

Our final leg is on Giants backstop Patrick Bailey to pick up a knock in this game. Bailey is hitting .286 this year and .303 off of righties like Nelson. He's hitting .292 against fastball-type pitches which are the primary weapons in Nelson's arsenal. While a small sample size, he's got 2 hits in 6 PAs against Nelson in the past and he gets a significant 65.9% probability of adding to that total tonight.

Lottos and Longshots: Create unlimited parlays by using custom filters with Dimers Pro!

+513 MLB Parlay Tonight: April 18, 2024

Having simulated the Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the three best player props to use in a prop bets parlay, and don't forget to apply your SGP Token to the betslip!

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