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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [4/29/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Ottawa Senators in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Ottawa-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 60%, compared to 40% for the Senators."
For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20HOCKEY Get Dimers Pro Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Senators and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 60% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-175) | -1.5 (+152) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -175 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Senators-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Senators vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews an 8.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 40.4% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 5.6% |
| Drake Batherson | 4.8% |
| Tim Stutzle | 4.6% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8.1% |
| John Tavares | 7.0% |
| William Nylander | 6.1% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 28.6% |
| Drake Batherson | 25.7% |
| Tim Stutzle | 24.3% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 40.4% |
| John Tavares | 32.7% |
| William Nylander | 32.1% |
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's game between the Maple Leafs and Senators in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday, April 29, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Senators and Maple Leafs, made the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Ottawa vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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