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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [4/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Ottawa Senators in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Ottawa-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 59%, compared to 41% for the Senators."
For expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20HOCKEY Get Dimers Pro Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Senators and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, Apr 22
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-196) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | +135 | -154 |
| Total | o5.5 (-124) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Senators-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Senators vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 10.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 44.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Drake Batherson | 4.9% |
| Tim Stutzle | 4.2% |
| Brady Tkachuk | 4.1% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 10.1% |
| William Nylander | 6.1% |
| John Tavares | 5.9% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Drake Batherson | 26.2% |
| Tim Stutzle | 24.0% |
| Shane Pinto | 22.9% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 44.9% |
| William Nylander | 32.8% |
| Mitch Marner | 31.0% |
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Tuesday's game between the Maple Leafs and Senators in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Senators and Maple Leafs, made the NHL Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Ottawa vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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