Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [4/20/2025]

The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Ottawa Senators in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Ottawa-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs with a win probability of 60%, while the Senators have 40%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.

Senators vs. Senators Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Senators and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 60% chance of defeating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Senators	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-180)	-1.5 (+154)
Moneyline	+150	-170
Total	o5.5 (-125)	u5.5 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 42.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	5.8%
Drake Batherson	4.7%
Tim Stutzle	4.3%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.4%
William Nylander	6.5%
Mitch Marner	6.2%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	30.8%
Drake Batherson	24.3%
Tim Stutzle	23.8%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	42.8%
William Nylander	31.0%
Mitch Marner	30.6%

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Maple Leafs and Senators in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Senators and Maple Leafs, reached the NHL Playoffs 2025, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ottawa vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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