Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [3/15/2025]

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators will meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Ottawa-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Maple Leafs are more likely to win, while the Senators have a lower chance of victory."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20HOCKEY at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Senators vs. Senators Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of defeating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Senators	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-190)	-1.5 (+170)
Moneyline	+122	-142
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 9.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	6.4%
Tim Stutzle	5.3%
Shane Pinto	4.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.3%
William Nylander	7.5%
Matthew Knies	5.6%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	34.6%
Tim Stutzle	28.1%
Shane Pinto	24.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	45.1%
William Nylander	36.7%
Matthew Knies	28.6%

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's action between the Maple Leafs and Senators at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ottawa vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.