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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [3/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Ottawa-Toronto game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Maple Leafs are more likely to win, while the Senators have a lower chance of victory."
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of beating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, Mar 15
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+185) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -134 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Senators-Maple Leafs Pick Get Dimers Pro Senators vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 9.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 42.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 6.5% |
| Tim Stutzle | 5.3% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.7% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.1% |
| William Nylander | 6.6% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.4% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 33.7% |
| Tim Stutzle | 28.9% |
| Shane Pinto | 23.8% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 42.2% |
| William Nylander | 34.2% |
| Matthew Knies | 27.7% |
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Senators at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Senators vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Ottawa vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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