Open Championship 2024 Preview: Odds, Predictions, Sleepers and Promos for Final Golf Major of the Year

We are just a few days away from the prestigious Open Championship, set to unfold at the historic Royal Troon Golf Club in South Ayrshire, Scotland. From July 18-21, 2024, the world's top golfers from both the PGA Tour and LIV Golf will compete for one of the sport's most coveted titles.

Bet365 has recently released their opening odds, highlighting these five players as the favorites to take home the Claret Jug:

• Scottie Scheffler
• Rory McIlroy
• Ludvig Aberg
• Xander Schauffele
• Bryson DeChambeau

At Dimers, we’re excited to highlight the best value bets and sleeper picks that could make a significant impact on this prestigious tournament. By leveraging our top projections and expert predictions, we will provide comprehensive insights for the Open Championship, including:

• Most likely winners
• Best bets to make
• Popular sleeper picks including Tiger Woods

Additionally, we will show you how to maximize your experience this week with Dimers Pro, alongside showcasing the best promotions available from leading sportsbooks.

MORE: Where to watch the 2024 Open Championship

Sports Betting Tool to Use at the Open Championship

At Dimers, our insights are powered by our comprehensive golf predictions, accessible through Dimers Pro. This advanced sports betting tool provides members with a range of betting options, including picks, props, parlays, and trends across various sports—all for an affordable rate of less than $1 a day.

For this week’s Open Championship at Royal Troon, subscribers can review detailed probabilities for each golfer’s chance of finishing in the top-20, top-10, top-5, and capturing the overall win.

Additionally, Dimers’ unique golf matchup predictor tool offers an exclusive look at the likelihood of any given player outperforming others in the field, enhancing your betting strategy for the event.

To unlock Dimers’ full suite of data-driven betting insights, sign up for Dimers Pro today.

Top 5 Most Likely Winners of the Open Championship 2024

After running fresh simulations of the 2024 Open Championship, the model at Dimers has calculated the latest win probabilities for each player. 

Here are the top five, with links to the sportsbook offering the best available odds for each:

1. Scottie Scheffler (17.2% win probability, +500 best odds)
2. Xander Schauffele (8.7%, +1400)
3. Rory McIlroy (8.2%, +750)
4. Bryson DeChambeau (5.8%, +1400)
5. Ludvig Aberg (4.8%, +1200)

Scottie Scheffler leads the pack with a 17.2% win probability. His consistent season performance makes him a strong contender at +500 odds. Xander Schauffele, with an 8.7% chance, offers good value at +1400 after winning his first major earlier this year.

Rory McIlroy's 8.2% win probability reflects his experience and skill on links courses while Bryson DeChambeau, at 5.8%, brings his powerful play to the open course. Finally, young gun Ludvig Aberg, with a 4.8% chance, has been impressive lately and could break through with a massive win this week.

REVEALED: DimersBOT Predicts The Open Winner After 10,000 Simulations

If you’re betting on any of these golfers, using the Bet365 code DIMERS is an excellent choice. They offer fantastic golf boosts, including enhanced odds and special promotions  tailored for golf events. Take advantage of these boosts to maximize your potential winnings!

Open Championship Betting Promos

Whether you’re a seasoned sports bettor or placing your first wager this week, these offers provide an excellent opportunity to engage with the tournament and easily obtain bonus bets. Verify your eligibility for these betting promotions, all applicable to bets on the 2024 Open Championship:

Value Picks for the Open Championship

By comparing win probabilities to the best available odds, Dimers identifies the best +EV (expected value) plays each week. Our model has pinpointed several players who provide excellent value for your bets at Royal Troon Golf Club this week.

Scottie Scheffler at +500

Scottie Scheffler is the favorite for the 2024 Open Championship with a 17.2% win probability. His consistent form throughout the season, coupled with his top finishes in previous majors, underscores his strong potential. His ability to perform under pressure makes him a must-consider for bettors. 

At +500 odds, Scheffler offers nice value, reflecting his dominant presence on the tour this year.

Xander Schauffele at +1400

Xander Schauffele continues to showcase his prowess as one of the world’s top golfers, making him a formidable contender for the Open Championship. With an 8.7% win probability and +1400 odds, Schauffele presents an excellent betting value. He has demonstrated remarkable consistency, finishing in the top 10 in five of his last seven majors, including all three in 2024. 

Schauffele’s ability to handle the unique challenges of major tournaments, along with his recent form, makes him a strong candidate for both outright win and placement bets.

Cameron Smith at +4000

Cameron Smith, with a win probability of 2.9% and +4000 odds, stands out as a valuable sleeper pick for the Open Championship. Smith has had a good run at The Open, marked by consistent performances and a notable victory at the 2022 Open. His ability to navigate difficult links courses and perform in high-stakes situations adds to his appeal. 

Smith’s strengths in putting and approach play could give him an edge at Royal Troon, making him a smart choice for bettors looking for high potential returns.

Sleeper bets for the Open Championship

Dimers uses advanced projections to determine whether some of the popular sleeper plays are good bets to win this week. By analyzing player performance data and win probabilities, Dimers identifies whether each player in the field offers value to perform well at Royal Troon.

Brian Harman at +7000

Brian Harman has a win probability of 1.5% and is valued at +7000 odds. His precise driving and excellent putting make him a strong contender. Harman’s victory at the 2023 Open Championship demonstrates his ability to handle major events, making him a noteworthy sleeper pick this week.

Davis Thompson at +11000

Davis Thompson presents a win probability of 1.1% and +11000 odds. His strong recent performances, including a win at the John Deere Classic picked by this same model, and familiarity with the course make him a valuable pick for the Open Championship, offering excellent value for bettors.

Tiger Woods at +30000

Tiger Woods, with a win probability of less than 0.1% and +30000 odds, remains a high-risk, high-reward bet. Despite recent struggles, his legendary status and potential for a comeback make him an intriguing option for those hoping for a miraculous performance.

Phil Mickelson at +50000

Phil Mickelson, with less than a 0.1% win probability and +50000 odds, is a fascinating sleeper pick. His career highlights and ability to surprise in majors offer a potential high payoff, appealing to those looking for a long-shot bet.

Conclusion

As the 2024 Open Championship at Royal Troon approaches, excitement is building for what promises to be an exceptional showcase of golfing talent. With insights from Dimers and their comprehensive Dimers Pro tool, we’ve identified the top contenders, value picks, and sleeper options. Scottie Scheffler leads the pack, followed by Xander Schauffele and Cameron Smith, offering strong potential for bettors.

For those looking to engage through sports betting, a variety of promotions and bonus bets are available, enhancing the experience. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, Dimers' expertise ensures you make informed decisions.