Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 3 [2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Game 3 matchup.

Oklahoma City Thunder-Memphis Grizzlies Predictions and Game Preview.
FedExForum sets the stage for Game 3 of the series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies this Thursday.

NBA Playoffs action continues on Thursday at 9:30PM ET as the Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at FedExForum.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 3.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Oklahoma City-Memphis game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Thunder with a win probability of 76% and the Grizzlies with 24%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Ja Morant, Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions page.

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win Game 3?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Thunder and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 76% chance of beating the Grizzlies in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-110.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+10) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 3 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Thunder Grizzlies
Spread -10 (-108) +10 (-108)
Moneyline -450 +360
Total o230.5 (-110) u230.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Picks and Best Bets for Game 3

Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 3 Player Props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Oklahoma City vs. Memphis matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Ja Morant is projected to be the top scorer for the Grizzlies.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game 3 Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's Game 3 between the Grizzlies and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 9:30PM ET.

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to determine the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Thunder and Grizzlies, made the NBA Playoffs 2025, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Memphis picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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