Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Wednesday's NBA Matchup [3/5/2025]

The Memphis Grizzlies will face the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at FedExForum on Wednesday, starting at 9:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Oklahoma City-Memphis game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Thunder's chance of winning at 71%, with the Grizzlies at 29%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Ja Morant, Desmond Bane and GG Jackson, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Aaron Wiggins.

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions page.

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 71% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 128-122.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 253.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 2:38AM, Mar 6

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Thunder

Grizzlies +6.5

47%

53%

-118

-102

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Grizzlies

Thunder OKC

-118

Grizzlies +6.5

47%

53%

See Matchup

Grizzlies MEM

-102

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Player Props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Oklahoma City vs. Memphis matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Ja Morant is projected to be the top scorer for the Grizzlies.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game

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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's game between the Grizzlies and Thunder at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
• Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Memphis picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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