Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Friday's NBA Matchup [4/4/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets matchup.

Oklahoma City Thunder-Houston Rockets Predictions and Game Preview.
Toyota Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets this Friday.

The Houston Rockets will take on the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Toyota Center on Friday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Oklahoma City-Houston game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Thunder's chance of winning is 69%, while the Rockets' is 31%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature stars like Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun and Fred VanVleet, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Rockets predictions page.

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Thunder vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Thunder and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 69% chance of defeating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 116-111.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Thunder and Rockets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Thunder Rockets
Spread -5.5 (-110) +5.5 (-110)
Moneyline -225 +190
Total o227.5 (-105) u227.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Rockets matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Rockets Player Props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Oklahoma City vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Jalen Green is projected to be the top scorer for the Rockets.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Thunder vs. Rockets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's game between the Rockets and Thunder at Toyota Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Thunder vs. Rockets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Houston picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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