Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Mar 11, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Odds - Mar 11, 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Edmonton Oilers in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

 

Who will win Oilers vs. Maple Leafs?

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Oilers-Maple Leafs NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of beating the Oilers.

More: Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Simulated 10K Times

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Current Odds

  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+180), Oilers +1.5 (-215)
  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs -122, Oilers +105
  • Total: Over/Under 7 (+105/-125)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Maple Leafs are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Oilers, with +180 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Oilers (+1.5) to cover the puck line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on the market at -215.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -122. That means you can risk $122 to win $100, for a total payout of $222, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Oilers at +105, where you can put down $100 to profit $105, earning a total payout of $205, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 7 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -125.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Oilers (+1.5) are a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 7-goal Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Best Free Bet Tracker

Best Bets for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs

  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 @ +180 via BetMGM
  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ -122 via FanDuel Sportsbook (53% probability)
  • Total: Under 7 @ -125 via BetMGM (53% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Even though the Oilers are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Probabilities

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Oilers-Maple Leafs matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Oilers and Maple Leafs.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Oilers vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 51.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Edmonton Oilers

  • Leon Draisaitl: 8.7% probability
  • Connor McDavid: 8.5% probability
  • Zach Hyman: 4.8% probability
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: 4.3% probability
  • Kailer Yamamoto: 3.6% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 10.2% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 6.9% probability
  • William Nylander: 6.7% probability
  • John Tavares: 6.0% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 4.7% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Edmonton Oilers

  • Leon Draisaitl: 45.8% probability
  • Connor McDavid: 43.3% probability
  • Zach Hyman: 27.9% probability
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: 24.3% probability
  • Kailer Yamamoto: 20.6% probability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 51.3% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 37.3% probability
  • William Nylander: 36.5% probability
  • John Tavares: 31.1% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 24.8% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Oilers vs. Maple Leafs on Saturday March 11, 2023.

 

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs 2023 Game Info

Saturday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Oilers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Date: Saturday March 11, 2023
  • Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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Want more NHL analysis like this?

So, you liked our Oilers vs. Maple Leafs betting analysis? Awesome. Did you know our NHL Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every NHL matchup as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets, which allows us to write the most accurate NHL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

It's only a click away, so why not take a look around?

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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