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NY Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/5/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Kevin Hansen, Senior Sports Analyst
![NY Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [2/5/2024]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/17dc8c40-c1e7-11ee-bc2e-a5b455b6dc3d-NHL_2023_119_TOR_NYI.png?w=750)
The Toronto Maple Leafs and NY Islanders will meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Monday's Islanders vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used innovative machine learning and statistics to simulate the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Islanders and Maple Leafs 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL predictions.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 57% chance of defeating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 55% chance of going under.
This NY Islanders vs. Toronto betting preview is brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+175) |
| Moneyline | +128 | -140 |
| Total | o6.5 (-108) | u6.5 (-105) |
- The Maple Leafs are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Islanders, with +175 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Islanders (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -190.
- DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -140, which means you can risk $140 to win $100 for a total payout of $240 if they get the W.
- FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Islanders at +128, where you can bet $100 to profit $128, earning a total payout of $228 if they win.
- The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -108, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, check out all the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs -1.5 | +175 |
| Moneyline | Islanders | +128 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -105 |
Although the Islanders are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, when compared to the best odds available.
And while the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, betting on the Islanders moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Dimers' NHL best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Islanders vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Islanders vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 12.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 52.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 6.9% |
| Brock Nelson | 6.8% |
| Anders Lee | 5.3% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 4.4% |
| Mathew Barzal | 3.5% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 12.3% |
| Mitchell Marner | 6.9% |
| William Nylander | 6.7% |
| John Tavares | 5.0% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 3.9% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 35.1% |
| Brock Nelson | 32.4% |
| Anders Lee | 26.9% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 22.1% |
| Mathew Barzal | 19.4% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 52.3% |
| William Nylander | 33.4% |
| Mitchell Marner | 32.4% |
| John Tavares | 25.6% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 19.4% |
| Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis ahead of the Islanders vs. Maple Leafs on Monday February 5, 2024. |
Isles vs. Maple Leafs Game Information
Monday's action between the Maple Leafs and Islanders at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday February 5, 2024
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Our full betting coverage of Islanders vs. Maple Leafs includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Monday's Islanders vs. Maple Leafs game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Islanders vs. Maple Leafs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.
More on NHL
Stay updated with the latest NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.
Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.
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