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Islanders vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [3/29/2025]
Our expert prediction for Saturday's NY Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and NY Islanders will meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Saturday, starting at 2:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NY Islanders-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Islanders have a lower chance of victory."
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Islanders vs. Lightning predictions page.
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Islanders vs. Islanders Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 64% chance of defeating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Islanders vs. Lightning Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Islanders | Lightning |
---|---|---|
Puck Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (+124) |
Moneyline | +190 | -196 |
Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Islanders vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Islanders vs. Lightning matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Islanders vs. Lightning Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Islanders vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 7.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 37.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
NY Islanders
Player | First Goal Probability |
---|---|
Kyle Palmieri | 5.8% |
Bo Horvat | 5.4% |
Anthony Duclair | 4.4% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Player | First Goal Probability |
---|---|
Jake Guentzel | 7.9% |
Brayden Point | 7.8% |
Nikita Kucherov | 7.1% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
NY Islanders
Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
---|---|
Kyle Palmieri | 30.9% |
Bo Horvat | 28.0% |
Anthony Duclair | 23.2% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
---|---|
Brayden Point | 38.1% |
Jake Guentzel | 37.3% |
Nikita Kucherov | 36.4% |
Isles vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's action between the Lightning and Islanders at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 2:00PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
- Time: 2:00PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Islanders vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any NY Islanders vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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