Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for Australian Open 2025

Novak Djokovic will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men's Singles 2025 on Tuesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Djokovic-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows Carlos Alcaraz with a win probability of 61%, compared to 39% for Novak Djokovic."

For further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and an expanded look at the predicted final score, visit our interactive Djokovic vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

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Djokovic vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The Australian Open 2025 match between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 4:25AM ET.

• Who: Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Approx. Time: 4:25AM ET/1:25AM PT
• Tournament: Australian Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Djokovic vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Djokovic vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Djokovic-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Alcaraz a 61% chance of beating Djokovic in the Australian Open 2025.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 56% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Djokovic	Alcaraz
Moneyline	+150	-189
First Set	+130	-164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Djokovic vs. Alcaraz Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Djokovic vs. Alcaraz match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Djokovic vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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