UNC vs. Duke Prediction: Duke Predicted to Win College Basketball Matchup [3/14/2025]

Duke and UNC will lock horns in college basketball action at Spectrum Center on Friday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Duke as the most likely winner of today's game.

Check the latest March Madness bracket projections and 2025 NCAA Championship probabilities.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's UNC-Duke game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Duke's chance of winning is 80%, while North Carolina's is 20%."

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, visit our interactive UNC vs. Duke predictions page.

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UNC vs. Duke Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball game between UNC and Duke 10,000 times as part of our college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Duke an 80% chance of beating North Carolina. Our predicted final score has Duke winning 79-70.

According to our model, Duke (-6.5) has a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 10:33PM, Mar 14

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

North Carolina

Duke -6.5

40%

60%

-105

-115

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Duke

North Carolina UNC

-105

Duke -6.5

40%

60%

See Matchup

Duke DUKE

-115

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UNC vs. Duke Odds

We have sourced the best College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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UNC vs. Duke Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's UNC vs. Duke matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best college basketball picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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UNC vs. Duke Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's college basketball matchup between Duke and UNC at Spectrum Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: North Carolina vs. Duke
• Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Spectrum Center

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's UNC vs. Duke matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any UNC vs. Duke picks, be sure to check out the latest college basketball predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Duke, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Carolina vs. Duke insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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