NHL Best Betting Picks and Predictions Today for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning on Monday, April 24, 2023

Our NHL handicapper provides his best bets from the Monday, April 24, 2023 slate, featuring the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning at the Amalie Arena. Not only do we give you picks from one of the best hockey handicappers out there, but we also provide the results from our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, which runs over 10,000 simulations of every major pro and college sport to identify the bets worth placing, and where we may have identified an edge against the sportsbooks' odds. We assess our probabilities against the money line odds, the puck line and the total, otherwise known as the Over/Under, and then tell you where the best odds and lines are available, allowing you to bet like a sharp and maximize your profits.

Today's NHL best bets and odds for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook.

Before Tone shares his wisdom, check out the below predictions from DimersBOT. It has run 10,000 simulations for each game on the April 24, 2023 slate to give you the most accurate look at what you'll be betting on at Amalie Arena. These probabilities will continue to update right up until puck drop, so keep an eye on them and see if you can get yourself some value.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Predictions and Odds

For the most up to date NHL betting picks today, check out our interactive hockey predictions for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning and every other game being played today in the Bet Hub. It's constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Best Bets

Monday, April 24, 2023 - 7:30PM ET

PICKS: Over 6 Goals (-137), Nikita Kucherov Over 3.5 SOG (+105)

The Maple Leafs and the Lightning clash in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals tonight, in Tampa. The Leafs accomplished something very rare in Game 3 by handing Andrei Vasilevskiy back to back playoff losses. Vasy is now 21-3 in his last 24 playoff games following a loss. The Leafs took that game by a 4-3 score in Overtime. Goals have been plentiful in this series as these teams have combined for 26 goals over the first three games. I see goal scoring continuing in this series as both teams have plenty of firepower. Dating back to last year's playoffs, the over has hit in ten of the last thirteen meetings between these clubs. Until we get a Game 7 in this series, I don’t see much of that changing. I’ll back the over again tonight and pay some juice to avoid a 6.5.

I’ll also add a player prop and that is Lightning forward Nikita Kucherov to eclipse 3.5 shots on goal, which he has done in two of the first three games in this series, totaling 13 shots on 28 attempts. With Tampa trailing in the series, I’m expecting Kucherov to be very active offensively. I’ll take him to eclipse 3.5 shots on goal, at plus money.

BET: Over 6 Goals (-137), Nikita Kucherov Over 3.5 SOG (+105) with BetMGM.

MORE: Dimers' full betting preview for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

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