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NFL Wild Card Round: Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props & Predictions, Sunday January 15, 2023

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Written by Nick Slade
NFL Wild Card Round: Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props & Predictions, Sunday January 15, 2023

It's NFL Wild Card Round and we've got Sunday afternoon football between the Dolphins and the Bills. Luckily for you, we've identified a number of different player prop performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from first touchdown props at Highmark Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Wild Card Round game between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills, where we have predicted the Bills to register a win. Based on our Dolphins-Bills predictions, it also looks as though Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is in for a big game, with the Bills WR featuring heavily in our projections. While names like Tyreek Hill and Josh Allen are also prominent, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

BEST BETS: Our three best plays for Wild Card Round

 
 

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NFL Wild Card Round Props: Dolphins vs. Bills

Wondering where to look in first touchdown props markets in this game between Dolphins vs. Bills? Well, the latest data for this Sunday afternoon Football matchup is in.

Listed below are our best first touchdown props and best anytime touchdown props for both the Dolphins and Bills, as well as player prop predictions.

And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday afternoon's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is the best first TD prop bet to place in Dolphins vs. Bills.

The Dimers AI predictive analytics machine gives Diggs a 13.4% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills WR is also a 51.6% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little more safe.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown props and anytime TD prop predictions.

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

Dolphins vs. Bills Touchdown Props

First Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER FIRST TOUCHDOWN
Stefon Diggs (Bills) 13.4% probability
Dawson Knox (Bills) 9.8% probability
Josh Allen (Bills) 9.2% probability
Gabe Davis (Bills) 9.1% probability
Jeff Wilson (Dolphins) 8.0% probability
Devin Singletary (Bills) 7.1% probability
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) 6.4% probability
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) 5.4% probability
Mike Gesicki (Dolphins) 3.4% probability
Trent Sherfield (Dolphins) 2.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Stefon Diggs (Bills) 51.6% probability
Dawson Knox (Bills) 41.3% probability
Gabe Davis (Bills) 39.1% probability
Josh Allen (Bills) 38.7% probability
Jeff Wilson (Dolphins) 35.5% probability
Devin Singletary (Bills) 31.2% probability
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins) 29.3% probability
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) 24.5% probability
Mike Gesicki (Dolphins) 16.7% probability
Trent Sherfield (Dolphins) 13.0% probability

Dolphins at Bills Player Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Skylar Thompson is predicted to have a quiet game and throw for just 182 passing yards. While the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for a whopping 283 yards.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Dolphins-Bills, below.

Dolphins Starting QB Prediction

  • Skylar Thompson: 182 yards

Bills Starting QB Predictions

  • Josh Allen: 283 yards

Dolphins Rushing Yards Prediction

  • Jeff Wilson: 72 projected yards
  • Skylar Thompson: 13 projected yards
  • Salvon Ahmed: 11 projected yards

Bills Rushing Yards Prediction

  • Devin Singletary: 52 projected yards
  • Josh Allen: 44 projected yards 🔥
  • James Cook: 31 projected yards 🔥

Dolphins Receiving Yards Prediction

  • Tyreek Hill: 52 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 52 projected yards
  • Durham Smythe: 28 projected yards
  • Mike Gesicki: 23 projected yards
  • Trent Sherfield: 19 projected yards

Bills Receiving Yards Prediction

  • Stefon Diggs: 90 projected yards
  • Gabe Davis: 60 projected yards
  • Dawson Knox: 32 projected yards
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 28 projected yards
  • James Cook: 18 projected yards

ANALYSIS: Insights and betting breakdown for Dolphins vs. Bills
MORE PROPS: Ravens vs. Bengals Player Props & Predictions For NFL Wild Card Round

NFL Player Prop Bets - Dolphins vs. Bills

🔥 BET: James Cook Under 37.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Our player props predictive analytics model has Cook down for significantly less than his line of 37.5 rushing yards (we have him getting just 31) on Sunday, so at odds of -110 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 24.3% with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new customers can score $200 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Josh Allen Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Sunday afternoon matchup between the Dolphins and the Bills, our player prop model has identified that the rushing yards line of 49.5 for Josh Allen is too high. We have the Bills QB down for just 44 rushing yards (see above), so betting his UNDER (-105) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 19.9% vs. the sportsbook. Remember, new DraftKings customers can score $200 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🏈 BET: Dawson Knox Score a Touchdown (+210)

The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some value here for Dawson Knox to score a TD on Sunday afternoon. While the model has identified him as a 41.3% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the 8.9% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at DraftKings Sportsbook and score $200 in free bets from just a $5 wager in the process here.

 

BEST BETS: Access NFL Player Prop bets for every Wild Card Round game

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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