NFL Wild Card Round Playoff Predictions, Betting Odds & Best Bets

The 2025 NFL Playoffs have arrived with Wild Card Weekend and this year's lineup of teams is loaded from top to bottom. From Saturday, January 11 to Monday, January 13, the "Super Wild Card" Round features six matchups with the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions earning their respective conference's #1 seed and a bye.

We've consulted our Dimers Pro NFL Playoff Predictions to bring you our best bets, touchdown props, game predictions and more for Wild Card Weekend.

RELATED: Dimers' Best NFL Player Props for Wild Card Weekend

Dimers' NFL Wild Card Predictions

#4 Houston Texans vs. #5 Los Angeles Chargers

The first matchup of Wild Card Weekend pits the Los Angeles Chargers against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. The Chargers come in as 2.5-point favorites, with the DimersBOT giving them a 59% chance to emerge victorious. Boasting a roster full of dynamic playmakers like J.K. Dobbins, rookie standout WR Ladd McConkey and QB Justin Herbert, the Chargers aim to capitalize on Houston's capable squad with C.J. Stroud, Nico Collins and Joe Mixon as the three-headed monster of the Texans offense. Justin Herbert's ability to stretch the field with his arm could play a pivotal role in what is projected to be a moderately low-scoring game, with the over/under set at 42.5 points and our model split 50/50 on the total.

The Texans, on the other hand, will rely heavily on their home-field advantage and a defense that has shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season, holding teams to 21.9 points per game in 2024-25. With a moneyline of +136, Houston enters as the underdog but certainly not without a fighting chance. Stroud has proven resilient under pressure, and if they can establish the ground game early, they could hope to wear down the Chargers' league-best scoring defense (17.7 PPG). A win here would flip the script after Houston's first-round rubbing by Baltimore last season, while the Chargers would see immediate success under Head Coach Jim Harbaugh.

Top 3 Anytime TD scorers in HOU-LAC:

• J. Mixon 48.0%
• N. Collins 44.0%
• J. Dobbins 43.5%

Super Bowl Win Probabilities:

• Texans 3.0%
• Chargers 2.3%

#3 Baltimore Ravens vs. #6 Pittsburgh Steelers

Few rivalries in the NFL are as fierce as those in the AFC North, and we don't expect the Ravens-Steelers Saturday night clash to be an exception, the third meeting between these teams this season. The Ravens, heavy favorites at -9.5, have an 82% win probability according to Dimers and a 53% probability to cover the spread. We highlighted them as a value pick to win the AFC North back in Week 14, and they seized the opportunity to wrestle the division title form Pittsburgh. Anchored by a stifling ground game and a dynamic offense led by Lamar Jackson, Baltimore will look to exploit Pittsburgh's late-season struggles on both sides of the ball, although they may have to do so without their playmaker Zay Flowers (knee). Baltimore is our fourth-most likely team to win the Super Bowl.

For the Steelers, this matchup represents an uphill battle, and with a moneyline of +425, Pittsburgh will need a near-perfect performance to pull off the upset. Their success hinges on the defense's ability to slow down Jackson and create turnovers, something they struggled with late in the season. Offensively, the Steelers need Russell Wilson to play smart and find success with the deep ball and connecting with George Pickens. The total in this game is set at 43.5, with our model finding no value on either side.

Top 3 Anytime TD scorers in BAL-PIT:

• D. Henry 69.3%
• M. Andrews 38.5%
• J. Warren 37.7%

Super Bowl Win Probabilities:

• Ravens 11.2%
• Steelers 1.8%

#2 Buffalo Bills vs. #7 Denver Broncos

The Buffalo Bills, favored by 9 points, look to assert their dominance against the Denver Broncos in this Sunday afternoon showdown. Our fifth-most likely Super Bowl LIX winner, Buffalo's 74% win probability suggests their playoff pedigree will be a big factor against a Broncos team made up of talented, but young playmakers. Their high-powered offense (30.9 points per game) will meet the Broncos top 3 scoring defense, but Josh Allen always has the ability to light up the scoreboard. With the over/under set at 47 points and a 52% probability to the over according to our model, this could be a higher-scoring matchup.

Denver, meanwhile, enters as a sizable underdog with a moneyline of +370 but has shown tremendous upside from their young QB Bo Nix. To have a chance at pulling off the upset, the Broncos will need their stout defense to contain Allen while the offense capitalizes on scoring opportunities against a Buffalo defense that allowed a pair of 40-point games to opposing teams in December. At a 58% probability to cover the spread, Denver +9 is our best bet of the weekend, with a 4.2% edge on them to pull off the outright upset.

Top 3 Anytime TD scorers in BUF-DEN:

• J. Allen 50.1%
• J. Cook 49.6%
• C. Sutton 41.2%

Super Bowl Win Probabilities:

• Bills 10.8%
• Broncos 0.4%

#2 Philadelphia Eagles vs. #7 Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers travel to Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles in what could be one of the most competitive matchups of the weekend and a rematch of Week 1. Philadelphia, favored by 4.5 points, has a 64% win probability and will look to leverage their balanced offense and stout defense to advance. Jalen Hurts' status is the major storyline around this game as he's been in concussion protocol for two weeks and missed the team's last two games, though he likely would have sat out Week 18 anyway. As of now, our simulation has him starting, but that could change so be sure to check back as we get updates on Hurts throughout the week. A healthy Hurts is critical to Philly's playoff run, as they are currently our third-most likely Super Bowl winner.

The Packers are not to be underestimated, though they are dealing with a QB injury themselves, as Jordan Love dinged his elbow in Week 18. Head Coach Matt LaFleur says he expects Love to play. With a moneyline of +195, Green Bay boasts a 36% chance of victory per the DimersBOT. Establishing the run game with Josh Jacobs will be crucial for the Packers with their WR corps solid but uninspiring. Green Bay's defense must also find ways to neutralize Saquon Barkley and force Hurts to win via the air. While the odds favor Philadelphia, the Packers get a 54% probability to cover the spread.

Top 3 Anytime TD scorers in PHI-GB:

• S. Barkley 53.8%
• J. Hurts 51.5%
• J. Jacobs 49.7%

Super Bowl Win Probabilities:

• Eagles 11.4%
• Packers 5.1%

#3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. #6 Washington Commanders

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Washington Commanders in a Sunday night battle under the lights at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay, favored by 3 points, comes into the game with a 61% win probability. The Buccaneers have shown as much upside as they have vulnerability this season, with an excellent run game behind Bucky Irving and Rachaad White and multiple deep ball playmakers in Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan, but their defense leaves a lot to be desired. If Baker Mayfield can avoid costly mistakes, the Buccaneers are well-positioned to come out on top against a Commanders team making their first postseason appearance since 2020.

The Commanders, on the other hand, have shown they can rise to the occasion behind eventual Offensive Rookie of the Year winner Jayden Daniels. A true dual threat, Daniels could make light work of this Buccaneers offense that struggled to contain the lackluster Saints in a must-win Week 18 game. The Commanders passing defense picked it up in the second half of the season, allowing just 189.5 passing yards per game, thuogh their rushing defense struggled mightily. With a moneyline of +150, Washington has a 39% chance of pulling off the upset, while we give them a 50% chance to cover (fair odds at +100). The over/under set at 50.5 points, the highest of the weekend.

Top 3 Anytime TD scorers in WSH-TB:

• B. Irving 57.0%
• M. Evans 50.1%
• B. Robinson 39.5%

Super Bowl Win Probabilities:

• Buccaneers 5.1%
• Commanders 1.1%

#4 Los Angeles Rams vs. #5 Minnesota Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Rams close out Wild Card Weekend with a Monday night showdown at SoFi Stadium. Minnesota, slight road favorites at -1.5, has a 60% chance of advancing according to Dimers' probabilities, and a 53% probability to cover the slim spread. Coming off a disappointing Week 18 showing when they had a chance at the No. 1 seed, the Vikings will look to exploit mismatches against a Rams defense that was middle of the road across the board this season. Sam Darnold looked MVP-level at times while pedestrian in others, finishing with no offensive touchdowns multiple times this season.  Their excellent run defense will need to contain Kyren Williams, the Rams' 1300 yard rusher this season.

For the Rams, playing at home gives them the benefit of not traveling to the cold North. With a moneyline of +108, Los Angeles has a 40% win probability, which is well off their implied probability of 48%, but can rely on their quarterback's experience in high-pressure games. The Rams have health on their side - they rested their playmakers in Week 18 and are entering with no injuries on offense. This matchup has all the ingredients for a dramatic conclusion to Wild Card Weekend, as both teams look to extend their surprising regular season campaigns.

Top 3 Anytime TD scorers in HOU-LAC:

• K. Williams 53.3%
• A. Jones 50.8%
• J. Jefferson 47.3%

Super Bowl Win Probabilities:

• Rams 4.3%
• Vikings 2.3%

RELATED: Dimers' Best Bets in the NFL Wild Card Round

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NFL Resources for Playoffs and Super Bowl 59

• NFL Playoff Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Bowl Game and Playoff Matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• NFL Best Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• Super Bowl LIX: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy this year?
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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